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Inflation preview

IPCA-15 stays at 0.09% in July due to the fall of fuel prices

Section: Economic Statistics | Eduardo Peret

July 23, 2019 09h00 AM | Last Updated: July 23, 2019 11h04 AM

The price of gasoline fell 2.79% and pushed downwards the July inflation preview - Photo: Licia Rubinstein/IBGE News Agency

The Extended National Consumer Price Index 15 (IPCA-15) rose 0.09% in July after recording 0.06% in the previous month. The decrease in fuel prices pushed the index downwards once again, in spite of the rise of airfares and electricity. 

In the year, the inflation preview had a cumulative increase of 2.42% and, in 12 months, of 3.27%, as released today by the IBGE.

The biggest negative influence of the July index was that of transportation, which fell 0.44% against July, reversing the rise of 0.25%, and accounting for a contribution of -0.08 percentage points.

Transportation also accounted for the main individual impacts downwards, due to the price of gasoline, with a decrease of 2.79%, and upwards, due to airfares, which rose 18.10%.

Other fuels also recorded fall of prices in July, with ethanol at -4.55%, diesel at -1.59% and fuel gas at -0.49%. 

Housing, which rose 0.43%, accounted for the main positive influence of the IPCA, with 0.07 percentage points. The biggest impact was that of electricity (1.13%), the sixth hike in a row. The hike this month was due to the startt of the yellow tariff flag, which charges electricity bills R$ 1.50 more per each 100 Kw/h consumed.

Among the groups that form IPCA-15, food and beverages recorded a slight increase of 0.03%, after a decrease of 0.64% in June. The highlights were personal expenses (0.48%) and health and personal care (0.34%),  with impacts of 0.05 and 0.04 percentage points, respectively. 

The other groups ranged between a decrease of 0.19% in apparel and an increase of 0.14% in communication.


Keywords: Prévia da inflação, IPCA-15, Julho, Transportes, Combustíveis.



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