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In January, industry declines in 10 of the 15 surveyed locations

March 15, 2022 09h00 AM | Last Updated: March 16, 2022 06h12 PM

The 2.4% drop in national industrial production from December 2021 to January 2022, in the seasonally adjusted series, had a widespread profile of negative rates, reaching ten of the 15 locations surveyed. Amazonas (-13.0%), Minas Gerais (-10.7%) and Pará (-9.8%) had the sharpest declines. As for the quarterly moving average, seven of the 15 places surveyed showed positive rates.

Industry Short-Term Indicators - Regional Results - January 2022
Places Change (%)
January 2022/ December 2021* January 2022/ January 2021 Cumulative in the last 12 months
Amazonas -13.0 -4.1 7.1
Pará -9.8 -24.4 -6.8
Northeast Region -1.6 -10.1 -6.9
Ceará -3.8 -24.3 0.5
Pernambuco -5.0 -12.3 -2.0
Bahia 1.2 -3.9 -12.5
Minas Gerais -10.7 -9.8 8.3
Espírito Santo 2.6 5.4 5.4
Rio de Janeiro -1.4 2.8 4.8
São Paulo -1.0 -8.7 3.8
Paraná -5.1 -3.7 7.8
Santa Catarina 0.9 -9.7 8.5
Rio Grande do Sul 0.8 -6.3 7.5
Mato Grosso 4.0 43.0 3.9
Goiás -1.7 2.1 -3.4
Brazil -2.4 -7.2 3.1
Source: IBGE. Diretoria de Pesquisas. Coordenação de Indústria,
* Seasonally-Adjusted Series

With a decrease of 2.4% in the national output of industry, ten of the 15 areas surveyed recorded negative rates from December 2021 to January 2022, in the seasonally adjusted series.  Amazonas recorded the sharpest drop (-13%), eliminating almost the whole expansion seen in December (14.3%). Next, Minas Gerais (-10.7%) recorded the sharpest fall since April 2020 (-15.3%), interrupting two months in a row of production growth, a period when it accumulated a gain of 7.5%. Another negative highlight was Pará (-9.8%), which had already registered decrease (-2.6%) in the previous month.

Paraná (-5.1%), Pernambuco (-5.0%) and Ceará (-3.8%) also recorded sharper negative rates than the national average (-2.4%). In addition, Goiás (-1.7%), the Northeast Region (-1.6%) and the states of Rio de Janeiro (-1.4%) and São Paulo (-1.0%) completed the set of locations with negative indices in January, although below the national average.

At the other end, Mato Grosso (4.0%) and Espírito Santo (2.6%) showed the highest increases in January compared to December, with the former marking the fourth positive rate in a row and accumulating in this period an expansion of 37, 6%; and the latter registering growth of 8.8% in two consecutive months of expansion in production.  Bahia (1.2%), Santa Catarina (0.9%) and Rio Grande do Sul (0.8%) had the other positive results of the month.

In the quarterly moving average, the industry showed a positive change of 0.1% in the quarter ended in January 2022, with seven of the 15 surveyed locations showing positive rates.  The sharpest advances in this comparison were seen in Mato Grosso (8.4%), Espírito Santo (1.8%), São Paulo (1.1%), Goiás (1.0%) and Santa Catarina (0.9%). On the other hand, Pará (-3.0%), Ceará (-2.6%), Pernambuco (-1.7%), Minas Gerais (-1.3%) and Amazonas (-0.9%) registered the main decreases.

Over January 2021, the industry decreased 7.2% in January 2022, followed by 11 of the 15 places surveyed, having January 2022 (21 days) one more business day than the same month a year ago (20). Pará (-24.4%), Ceará (-24.3%), Pernambuco (-12.3%) and Northeast Region (-10.1%) had the sharpest declines.  Minas Gerais (-9.8%), Santa Catarina (-9.7%) and São Paulo (-8.7%) also registered negative rates above the national average (-7.2%).  And Rio Grande do Sul (-6.3%), Amazonas (-4.1%), Bahia (-3.9%) and Paraná (-3.7%) completed the set of negative indices in the comparison.

On the other hand, Mato Grosso, with an expansion of 43.0%, had the highest growth in January 2022, largely driven by the advance observed in the activities of food products and coke, petroleum products and biofuels (ethyl alcohol).  Espírito Santo (5.4%), Rio de Janeiro (2.8%) and Goiás (2.1%) showed the other positive results in the comparison with the same month of the previous year.

In the cumulative index in the last twelve months, the 3.1% increase in the total industry in January 2022 was followed by ten of the 15 surveyed locations, but nine of these locations showed less dynamism compared to December 2021 indices.  Ceará (from 3.7% to 0.5%), Pará (from -3.7% to -6.8%), Pernambuco (from -0.2% to -2.0%), Santa Catarina (from 10.2% to 8.5%), Minas Gerais (from 9.8% to 8.3%), Paraná (from 9.1% to 7.8%), Rio Grande do Sul (from 8.7% to 7.5%) and São Paulo (from 4.9% to 3.8%) showed the main declines between December 2021 and January 2022.  On the other hand, Mato Grosso (from -0.1% to 3.9%) had the biggest gain between the two periods.