In June of 2010, the total employed personnel in the industrial sector advanced 0.5% compared with the previous month, not considering the seasonal effects, the sixth consecutive positive result...

 

In June of 2010, the total employed personnel in the industrial sector advanced 0.5% compared with the previous month, not considering the seasonal effects, the sixth consecutive positive result. By comparison with June 2009, the industrial employment advanced 4.9%, the fifth consecutive positive rate and the highest since the beginning of the historical series. Consequently, the end of the first semester of the year registered an expansion of 2.4%, accelerating the pace in contrast with the results of the last months. The accumulated index in the last 12 months remained down (-1.6%), but the decrease pace has slowed down since last January. The number of paid hours rose 0.3% compared with the immediately previous month, in the seasonally adjusted series. In contrast with the same month of the previous year, the 5.7% rate is the highest since the beginning of the historical series, whereas in the accumulated index in the year there was an advance of 3.5%. The real seasonally adjusted workers’ payroll grew 3.3% compared with the immediately previous month. By comparison with the same periods of 2009, there was an increase of 8.3% in the monthly index and of 4.6% in the accumulated index of the first semester of the year. The accumulated index in the last 12 months presented a slight negative change (-0.1%).

 

 

Short-term Indicators of Industry

 

Brazil - June of 2010

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Variables

Change (%)

Month/month*

Monthly

Accumulated

Accumulated in 12 months

Salaried employed personnel

0.5

4.9

2.4

-1.6

Number of paid hours

0.3

5.7

3.5

-1.1

Real payroll

3.3

8.3

4.6

-0.1

 

Source: IBGE, Directorate of Surveys, Coordination of Industry

*seasonally adjusted

 

 

  

Industrial employment has grown for the sixth consecutive month

 

In June of 2010, the industrial employment presented a positive change of 0.5% compared with the previous month, in the seasonally adjusted series, accumulating 2.9% in the six months of expansion. Consequently, the quarterly moving average index advanced 0.4% between the quarters ended in May and June and continued the upward trend started in June of 2009. In the quarter over quarter index, the total employed personnel has grown for four consecutive periods, with acceleration in growth between the first quarter (0.9%) and the second one of 2010 (1.5%).

 

In contrast with the same month of the previous year, the growth in the total employed personnel reached 4.9%, the fifth consecutive positive rate and the highest since the beginning of the historical series. As a result, the end of the first semester of the year registered an expansion of 2.4%, accelerating the pace relative to the results of the last months. The accumulated indicator of the last twelve months shows the reduction in the fall pace started in December of 2009, by changing from –2.6% in May to –1.6% in June.

 

The 4.9% result in June has grown in all the surveyed locations and fourteen of the eighteen sectors. As to locations, the main positive contribution continued to be from São Paulo (3.7%), followed by the Northeast region (7.1%), Rio Grande do Sul (6.8%), North and Midwest regions (7.1%), Rio de Janeiro (8.6%) and Minas Gerais (3.7%). In the São Paulo industry, the highest positive influences came from the activities relative to the electric-electronic and communication machinery and appliances (10%), food and beverages (4.4%), machinery and equipment (6.5%) and transportation means (5.6%). In the Northeast region, the highlights were the sectors of footwear and leather (16.1%) and food and beverages (7.8%), whereas in the South industry, the positive highlights were machinery and equipment (16.2%), transportation means (14%) and other processing industry products (12.6%). In the North and Midwest regions, the activity relative to non-metallic minerals (33.4%) was the highest positive contributor in the total of contracts. In Rio de Janeiro, food and beverages (24.1%), metal products (32.6%) and transportation means (10.1%); and in Minas Gerais, metal products (27.4%) and transportation means (15.3%) pointed to the main positive pressures in the global result of these areas.

 

In the national level, comparing with the same month in the previous year, 14 among the 18 surveyed sectors presented an increase in the industrial employed personnel, with the main positive contributions from the sectors of machinery and equipment (9.5%), metal products (9.8%), food and beverages (3.0%), transportation means (7.0%) and electric-electronic and communication machinery and appliances (10.0%). On the other hand, apparel (-1.8%), petroleum refinement and alcohol production (-3.1%), wood (-2.1%) and tobacco (-7.2%) represented the negative results of this month.

 

The 4.2% growth in the second quarter of the year accelerated the growth pace compared with the first quarter (0.7%), both comparisons in opposition to the same period of the previous year. It is important to highlight that the industry employed personnel registered negative rates in all the quarters of 2009. This acceleration movement in contracts between the first and the second quarters of the year was disseminated, reaching all the locations and fifteen of the eighteen sectors. The highlights in terms of sectors were metal products (from 0.3% to 8.2%), transportation means (from -0.7% to 5.7%), machinery and equipment (from 1.0% to 7.4%), basic metallurgy (from –2.6% to 8.1%) and electric-electronic and communication machinery and appliances (from 1.9% to 8.7%). The highlights in terms of locations were North and Midwest regions (from 0.0% to 5.9%), Rio Grande do Sul (from 0.5% to 6.0%), Rio de Janeiro (from 1.2% to 6.5%), Pernambuco (from 3.2% to 8.4%) and Espírito Santo (from 1.5% to 6.6%).

 

At the end of the first semester of the year, the industrial employment expanded 2.4%, with the enlargement of the number of employed personnel in all locations and in fourteen sectors. Among the locations, the highlights were São Paulo (2.3%), Northeast region (4.4%), Rio Grande do Sul (3.2%), North and Midwest regions (2.9%) and Ceará (8.2%). As for the sectors, the most relevant positive contributions in relation to the national average were observed in food and beverages (2.0%), footwear and leather (6.2%), machinery and equipment (4.1%), electric-electronic and communication machinery and appliances (5.3%) and metal products (4.2%), whereas wood (-8.6%) and apparel (-1.7%) represented the main negative impacts.

 

Number of paid hours registers the fifth consecutive positive rate

 

The number of paid hours in industry in June advanced 0.3% compared with May, in the seasonally adjusted series, the fifth consecutive positive rate, accumulating a 3.4% gain in this period. As a result, the quarterly moving average index presented a positive change of 0.3% between May and June, and continued the upward trend started in July of the last year. Still considering the seasonally adjusted series, in the quarter over quarter comparison, the number of paid hours grew 1.8% in the second quarter of 2010, the fourth consecutive positive result, with a dynamism gain in relation to the index of the January-March period (1.4%).

 

The number of paid hours registered an increase of 5.7% compared with June of 2009, the fifth consecutive positive rate and the highest since the beginning of the historical series. In the quarterly cut, the second quarter of 2010 advanced 5.2% compared with the same period of the last year. In the accumulated index in the first semester of the year, the growth was 3.5%. The yearly rate, accumulated indicator in the last twelve months, remained down (-1.1%), but the fall pace has decreased since last November.

 

The advance of 5.7% in the number of paid hours in the monthly index was mainly propelled by the positive rates registered in all the fourteen locations and in fourteen of the eighteen surveyed sectors. The main positive contributors to the general result were São Paulo (4.6%), Northeast region (6.2%), North and Midwest regions (8.0%), Rio Grande do Sul (7.5%), Rio de Janeiro (10.2%) and Minas Gerais (4.6%). In São Paulo, twelve sectors increased the number of paid hours, with major contributions from transportation means and machinery and equipment, both with an increase of 11.2%. In the industry of the Northeast region, the highlights were food and beverages (8.0%) and footwear and leather (13.3%). In the North and Midwest regions, the highest positive impacts were registered from non-metallic minerals (42.0%) and electric-electronic and communication machinery and appliances (16.9%), whereas in Rio Grande do Sul, the positive highlights were from machinery and equipment (18.5%) and transportation means (20.5%). In Rio de Janeiro, food and beverages (27.7%), basic metallurgy (35.4%), metal products (30.6%) and transportation means (14.3%); and in Minas Gerais, metal products (34.0%) and transportation means (16.9%) pointed to the most relevant positive contributions to the overall index of these areas.

 

Still comparing with June of 2009, as to sectors, the main positive contributions to the overall country index were from machinery and equipment (12.7%), transportation means (11.4%), metal products (11.2%) and food and beverages (3.0%). Conversely, petroleum refinement and alcohol production (-6.5%) and apparel (-1.3%) were the major negative contributors to the industry average.

 

In a quarterly basis, the number of paid hours increased between the first (1.8%) and the second quarters (5.2%) of 2010, both comparisons are related to the same quarter of the previous year. There was a dynamism gain in the number of paid hours between January-March and April-June in fifteen sectors and thirteen locations. In terms of sectors, the highest contributions were from metal products, which changed from 0.6% to 9.8%, transportation means (from 4.2% to 10.5%) and machinery and equipment (from 3.7% to 10.3%). As for locations, Pernambuco (from 4.2% to 12.5%), Espírito Santo (from 1.1% to 7.7%), North and Midwest regions (from 0.0% to 6.2%), Rio Grande do Sul (from 1.0% to 7.0%) and Rio de Janeiro (from 2.9% to 8.6%) presented the highest acceleration between the two periods, while Ceará was the only one that did not register gain (from 7.9% to 7.8%).

 

The accumulated indicator in the first semester of 2010 advanced 3.5%, with a growth general profile that reached all the locations and fourteen sectors. The most important positive contributions to the total paid hours were from São Paulo (3.7%), Northeast region (4.4%), Rio Grande do Sul (4.0%) and Rio de Janeiro (5.7%). As for the sectors, the main positive influences were food and beverages (2.9%), transportation means (7.3%), machinery and equipment (7.0%) and metal products (5.1%), whereas wood (-8.5%) and apparel (-1.4%) represented the most relevant negative contributions.

 

Real payroll value rose 3.3% compared with May

 

In June, the seasonally adjusted industry workers’ real payroll value rose 3.3% compared with the immediately previous month, after accumulating a 0.8% drop in the last previous months. As a result, the quarterly moving average index advanced 0.8% between the quarters ended in May and June and remained in upward trajectory since last December. Still considering the seasonally adjusted series, the real payroll value advanced 2.3% between the first and the second quarters of the year, the third consecutive positive result in this type of comparison, accumulating a 7.4% expansion in this period.

 

In the comparison with equal periods of the last year, the real payroll value increased 8.3% compared with June of 2009 and 4.6% in the accumulated index of the first semester of the year. The yearly rate continued registering the reduction of the fall pace, as it changed from –0.9% in May to –0.1% in June, and continued the upward trend started in December of 2009 (-2.7%).

 

In the indicator of June, the real payroll value rose 8.3%, with positive rates in all (fourteen) the surveyed locations. The main influence on the overall average was from São Paulo (6.4%), because of the increase in the real payroll from transportation means (12.0%), rubber and plastic (19.2%) and food and beverages (7.0%). It is also relevant to mention the positive results from Rio Grande do Sul (12.6%), mainly propelled by machinery and equipment (19.7%) and transportation means (25.6%); North and Midwest regions (11.9%), due to non-metallic minerals (51.0%) and extraction industries (15.3%); and Rio de Janeiro (10.6%), mainly influenced by the sectors of transportation means (15.9%) and basic metallurgy (32.6%).

 

As for the sectors, still considering the monthly indicator, the real payroll value grew in seventeen of the eighteen industrial sectors, with the main contributions from transportation means (13.1%), food and beverages (6.2%), rubber and plastic (18.3%), machinery and equipment (5.9%) and electric-electronic and communication machinery and appliances (10.7%). On the other hand, paper and press (-0.1%) was the only activity that registered a fall compared with June of 2009.

 

In the quarterly analysis, the real payroll value accelerated the growth pace between the first (3.3%) and the second quarter of 2010 (5.9%), both comparisons are in relation to the same period of the previous year. This movement is explained by the gain in fourteen of the eighteen sectors and in ten of the fourteen locations. As to the sectors, the highlights were transportation means, which expanded from 2.6% in January-March to 9.1% in April-June, basic metallurgy (from –6.4% to 7.7%) and machinery and equipment (from 0.3% to 7.7%). As for locations, Espírito Santo (from –0.8% to 7.2%), Rio Grande do Sul (from 2.7% to 10.1%), North and Midwest regions (from 4.2% to 10.2%) and Pernambuco (from 6.9% to 12.6%) were the ones that registered the highest advances between the two periods.

 

The accumulated indicator in the first semester of the year of the real payroll value advanced 4.6%, presenting growth in all the surveyed locations. The highest influences on the industry average were São Paulo (3.8%), Paraná (8.4%) and North and Midwest regions (7.1%). In these locations the highest positive contributions were from electric-electronic and communication machinery and appliances (13.7%) and paper and press (8.8%); transportation means (14.4%) and machinery and equipment (19.0%); food and beverages (6.2%) and extraction industries (15.0%). In terms of sectors, fourteen activities expanded the real payroll value, with the highest contributions to the overall rate from transportation means (5.8%), food and beverages (5.6%), and electric-electronic and communication machinery and appliances (10.4%) and paper and press (7.4%). Conversely, the most significant drops in the real payroll were registered by the extraction industries (-4.2%) and petroleum refinement and alcohol production (-4.5%).