Industrial output grows in six of the fifteen surveyed places
April 11, 2018 09h00 AM | Last Updated: April 12, 2018 12h10 PM
With the positive change of 0.2% in the national industrial output, six of the fifteen places surveyed had positive rates between January and February 2018, in the seasonally adjusted series.
The main highs were: in Paraná (3.3%), offsetting part of January's 4.2% drop; in the Northeast Region (2.6%), returning part of the 2.9% loss, accumulated since September 2017; in Pernambuco (1.3%), advancing for the second month in a row with a cumulative high of 2.5%; and Rio de Janeiro (1.2%), offsetting the 2.3% drop in January.
Santa Catarina (0.9%) and Bahia (0.9%) were the other places with positive rates in January. Goiás (0.0%) repeated the previous month's level.
The negative results of the Industry were in Pará (-10.9%), which eliminated the high of 6.1% in January; in Amazonas (-5.9%), which accumulated gains of 12.7% in the last two months; and in Mato Grosso (-4.4%), which intensified January's drop (-0.5%).
Minas Gerais (-2.8%), Espírito Santo (-1.1%), Ceará (-0.7%), São Paulo (-0.5%) and Rio Grande do Sul (-0.1%) were the other places with negative rates.
The support material of the Monthly Survey of Industry - Regional Physical Production are on the right of this page.
Short-Term Indicators of Industry | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Results by Area - February 2018 | ||||
Places | Change (%) | |||
February 2018/ January 2018* |
February 2018/ February 2017 |
Cumulative in the year | Cumulative in the last 12 months | |
Amazonas | -5.9 | 16.2 | 24.5 | 6.9 |
Pará | -10.9 | -1.0 | 7.2 | 9.9 |
Região Nordeste | 2.6 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.0 |
Ceará | -0.7 | 2.8 | 3.9 | 3.1 |
Pernambuco | 1.3 | 5.0 | 0.9 | -1.8 |
Bahia | 0.9 | 3.2 | 4.4 | 0.5 |
Minas Gerais | -2.8 | -6.4 | -1.4 | 0.7 |
Espírito Santo | -1.1 | -6.3 | -7.8 | -0.4 |
Rio de Janeiro | 1.2 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 4.1 |
São Paulo | -0.5 | 4.8 | 6.2 | 4.4 |
Paraná | 3.3 | -0.2 | -0.9 | 3.3 |
Santa Catarina | 0.9 | 6.2 | 8.5 | 5.1 |
Rio Grande do Sul | -0.1 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 0.9 |
Mato Grosso | -4.4 | -2.3 | -1.0 | 3.6 |
Goiás | 0.0 | -2.0 | -0.4 | 3.0 |
Brazil | 0.2 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 3.0 |
Source: IBGE, Diretoria de Pesquisas, Coordenação de Indústria * Série com Ajuste Sazonal |
Also in the seasonally adjusted series, the quarterly moving average for the industry change 0.3% in the quarter ended in February 2018, compared to the previous month's level, keeping the upward trend started in May 2017. Seven places grew, with a highlight to Amazonas (4.3%), Rio Grande do Sul (1.2%) and Santa Catarina (1.1%). The sharpest drops were in Pará (-2.2%), Minas Gerais (-0.9%) and Espírito Santo (-0.7%).
In the comparison with the same month a year ago, the industrial sector grew 2.8% in February 2018, with positive results in nine of the fifteen places surveyed. This month, Amazonas had the biggest high (16.2%), driven to a great extent by the sectors of computer, electronic and optical products; of other Transportation Equipment; and beverages. Santa Catarina (6.2%), Pernambuco (5.0%), São Paulo (4.8%), Bahia (3.2%) and Rio de Janeiro (3.0%) also had highs above the national average (2.8%), whereas Ceará (2.8%), Northeast Region (2.4%) and Rio Grande do Sul (0.3%) close the set of places with production growth.
Minas Gerais (-6.4%) and Espírito Santo (-6.3%) had the greatest decreases in February 2018. The first driven, to a great extent, by the segments of mining and quarrying industries and of coke, petroleum products and biofuels; and the second, by the sectors of pulp, paper and paper products; non-metallic mineral products; basic metals; and of mining and quarrying industries. The other negative figures were posted in Mato Grosso (-2.3%), Goiás (-2.0%), Pará (-1.0%) and Paraná (-0.2%).
In the cumulative index of the year (4.3%), over the same period of 2017, ten of the fifteen places surveyed grew, with a highlight to Amazonas (24.5%), Santa Catarina (8.5%), Pará (7.2%), São Paulo (6.2%) and Bahia (4.4%), which grew above the average of the national industry (4.3%). Rio de Janeiro (4.1%), Ceará (3.9%), Rio Grande do Sul (3.5%), Northeast Region (1.7%) and Pernambuco (0.9%) close the set of places with positive results. However, Espírito Santo (-7.8%), Minas Gerais (-1.4%), Mato Grosso (-1.0%), Paraná
(-0.9%) and Goiás (-0.4%) had decrease in the industrial output.
The cumulative index over 12 months (3.0%) had the greatest high since June 2011 (3.6%) and kept the upward trend initiated in June 2016 (-9.7%). By areas, 12 of the 15 places surveyed grew in February 2018, but just eight had a higher dynamism over the indexes of last January, following the move of the national industry, which went from 2.8% to 3.0%.
Amazonas (6.1% to 6.9%), Mato Grosso (3.0% to 3.6%), Bahia (0.0% to 0.5%), São Paulo (3.9% to 4.4%), Pernambuco (-2.3% to -1.8%) and Ceará (2.7% to 3.1%) had the highest gains between January and February 2018. The main reductions between the two periods occurred in Minas Gerais (1.5% to 0.7%) and Paraná (3.7% to 3.3%).
IN the comparison between the cumulative index of Janeiro-February of 2018 and the last quarter of 2017 (both non-adjusted series), nine of the fifteen places surveyed had loss of dynamism, with a highlight to Mato Grosso (11.8% to -1.0%), Goiás (10.6% to -0.4%), Espírito Santo (-2.2% to -7.8%), Pará (11.1% to 7.2%), Rio de Janeiro (7.8% to 4.1%) and Paraná (2.4% to -0.9%). The biggest gains were in Amazonas (9.2% to 24.5%), Bahia (-0.6% to 4.4%) and Rio Grande do Sul (-1.0% to 3.5%).
Monthly Survey of Industry - Physical Production - Regional Results | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
(Base: Same period a year ago) | |||||
Places | Percentage Changes (%) | ||||
Q1/2017 | Q2/2017 | Q3/2017 | Q4/2017 | Jan-Feb/2018 | |
Amazonas | 1.0 | 2.3 | 3.8 | 9.2 | 24.5 |
Pará | 7.8 | 9.2 | 12.0 | 11.1 | 7.2 |
Região Nordeste | -1.5 | -2.2 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 1.7 |
Ceará | -0.7 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 4.6 | 3.9 |
Pernambuco | 6.0 | -4.0 | -2.8 | -2.2 | 0.9 |
Bahia | -7.5 | -5.7 | 6.8 | -0.6 | 4.4 |
Minas Gerais | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.5 | -1.4 |
Espírito Santo | 4.0 | 5.2 | 0.0 | -2.2 | -7.8 |
Rio de Janeiro | 5.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 7.8 | 4.1 |
São Paulo | 0.2 | -0.2 | 5.3 | 8.1 | 6.2 |
Paraná | 6.6 | 1.9 | 6.8 | 2.4 | -0.9 |
Santa Catarina | 5.5 | 1.3 | 4.2 | 7.5 | 8.5 |
Rio Grande do Sul | 1.7 | 1.5 | -1.7 | -1.0 | 3.5 |
Mato Grosso | 1.0 | -3.5 | 6.9 | 11.8 | -1.0 |
Goiás | 6.7 | -2.1 | 2.2 | 10.6 | -0.4 |
Brazil | 1.3 | 0.4 | 3.1 | 4.9 | 4.3 |
Source: IBGE, Diretoria de Pesquisas, Coordenação de Indústria |