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Industry grows in seven out of 15 places surveyed in September

November 07, 2024 09h00 AM | Last Updated: November 07, 2024 04h34 PM

In the seasonally-adjusted series, the national industrial production changed 1.1% in September 2024 over August and seven out of 15 places surveyed registered positive rates.

The most significant advances were registered in Espírito Santo (2.4%), Goiás (2.4%), Santa Catarina (2.3%) and Rio Grande do Sul (1.9%). On the other hand, Ceará (-4.5%), Amazonas (-3.1%) and Pernambuco (-2.6%) recorded the most intense retreats.

The quarterly moving average was positive in eight out of 15 places surveyed, highlighted by the steepest advances in Espírito Santo (2.2%), Mato Grosso (1.2%), Goiás (0.9%) and Minas Gerais (0.9%). In contrast, Pará (-2.8%) and Bahia (-1.1%) reported the major retreats in September 2024.

Compared with the same month a year ago, industry grew 3.4% in September 2024, with positive figures in 14 out of 18 places surveyed. The most intense rise was registered in Mato Grosso do Sul (12.6%) and Pernambuco (12.0%).

In the cumulative index in the year of 2024, the rise of 3.1% of the national industry was followed by positive figures in 17 out of 18 places surveyed. Rio Grande do Norte (9.3%) recorded the sharpest advance.

Regional Results
September 2024
Places  Change (%)
September 2024/
August 2024*
September 2024/
September 2023
Cumulative January-September Cumulative in the Last 12 Months
Amazonas -3.1 -1.4 2.2 0.0
Pará -0.8 -1.2 3.8 5.5
Northeast Region -0.5 7.4 1.8 1.7
Maranhão - 5.6 3.8 2.4
Ceará -4.5 7.1 8.7 7.3
Rio Grande do Norte - -21.0 9.3 7.7
Pernambuco -2.6 12.0 3.4 4.6
Bahia -1.6 7.6 3.1 4.0
Minas Gerais -1.2 5.6 2.9 2.7
Espírito Santo 2.4 0.8 0.2 5.0
Rio de Janeiro -1.0 -4.5 2.5 3.5
São Paulo 0.9 2.9 3.8 2.7
Paraná 0.9 3.7 3.3 5.1
Santa Catarina 2.3 7.0 6.8 6.0
Rio Grande do Sul 1.9 2.5 -0.2 -1.1
Mato Grosso do Sul - 12.6 5.2 4.3
Mato Grosso 0.7 4.8 2.9 4.1
Goiás 2.4 0.2 3.9 6.8
Brazil 1.1 3.4 3.1 2.6
Source: IBGE, Directorate of Surveys, Coordination of Short-Term Statistics in Enterprises*
* Seasonally-adjusted series

In the seasonally-adjusted series, seven out of 15 places surveyed registered positive rates in September, following the evolution of 1.1% in the national industrial output. Espírito Santo (2.4%), Goiás (2.4%), Santa Catarina (2.3%) and Rio Grande do Sul (1.9%) recorded the sharpest advances, after retreating last month: -0.9%, -0.4%, -1.3% and -2.8%, respectively.

São Paulo (0.9%), Paraná (0.9%) and Mato Grosso (0.7%) were the other places with positive indexes in September 2024.

In contrast, Ceará (-4.5%), Amazonas (-3.1%) and Pernambuco (-2.6%) recorded the biggest retreats this month, the first place interrupting three consecutive months of growing production, a period in which it accumulated a gain of 5.7%; and the last two places stepping up the drop reported in the previous month: -2.2% and -2.2%, respectively. Bahia (-1.6%), Minas Gerais (-1.2%), Rio de Janeiro (-1.0%), Pará (-0.8%) and Northeast Region (-0.5%) registered the other negative figures in September 2024.

The quarterly moving average index recorded a null change (0.0%) in the quarter ended in September over the level of the previous month, interrupting three consecutive months of growing output, a period in which it accumulated an expansion of 2.4%. In regional terms, eight out of 15 places surveyed reported positive rates, highlighted by the steepest advances registered in Espírito Santo (2.2%), Mato Grosso (1.2%), Goiás (0.9%) and Minas Gerais (0.9%).

In contrast, Pará (-2.8%) and Bahia (-1.1%) reported the major retreats in September 2024.

Compared with September 2023, industry grew 3.4% in September 2024, with 14 out of 18 places surveyed showing positive results. It is worth mentioning that September 2024 (21 days) had one more business day than the same month a year ago (20).

Mato Grosso do Sul (12.6%) and Pernambuco (12.0%) registered two-digit expansions, the sharpest ones this month, leveraged, to a great extent, by the activities of coke, petroleum products and biofuels (ethyl alcohol), food products (fresh or cooled beef and frozen poultry or giblets) and pulp, paper and paper products (pulp) in the former place; and of coke, petroleum products and biofuels (diesel fuel), motor vehicles, trailers and bodies (vehicles for transportation of goods) and food products (refined sugar from sugarcane, crystallized sugar and fresh or cooled poultry and giblets) in the latter.

Bahia (7.6%), Northeast Region (7.4%), Ceará (7.1%), Santa Catarina (7.0%), Minas Gerais (5.6%), Maranhão (5.6%), Mato Grosso (4.8%) and Paraná (3.7%) also registered more intense positive rates than the national average (3.4%), whereas São Paulo (2.9%), Rio Grande do Sul (2.5%), Espírito Santo (0.8%) and Goiás (0.2%) were the other places that recorded an advance in the output in the monthly index of September 2024.

On the other hand, Rio Grande do Norte (-21.0%) reported the biggest retreat this month, pressed, to a great extent, by the activity of coke, petroleum products and biofuels (motor gasoline and fuel oils). Rio de Janeiro (-4.5%), Amazonas (-1.4%) and Pará (-1.2%) registered the other negative figures in the monthly index of September 2024.

Having expanded 3.9% in the period of July-September 2024, the national industrial sector remained with the positive behavior and stepped up the pace of growth over the results of the second quarter of 2024 (3.3%), over the first three months of the year (2.0%) and over the last quarter of 2023 (1.1%), all of them compared with the same period in the previous year. In regional terms, the greater dynamism between the second (3.3%) and the third quarter of 2024 (3.9%) was followed by 11 out of 18 places surveyed, highlighted by Pará (from -0.5% to 8.7%), Rio Grande do Sul (from -4.5% to 1.7%), Minas Gerais (from 0.3% to 5.9%), Mato Grosso do Sul (from 4.0% to 8.2%), Northeast Region (from 1.2% to 5.3%), Bahia (from 1.1% to 5.0%), Ceará (from 8.1% to 11.6%) and Amazonas (from -0.3% to 2.5%). In contrast, Rio Grande do Norte (from 22.1% to -12.7%), Maranhão (from 10.9% to 1.9%), Goiás (from 5.1% to -1.2%), Rio de Janeiro (from 3.9% to -2.0%) and São Paulo (from 6.1% to 3.1%) recorded the major losses between the two periods.

The cumulative indicator in the year, over the same period last year, expanded 3.1%, with positive figures in 17 out of 18 places surveyed. Rio Grande do Norte (9.3%) reported the steepest cumulative index for the first nine months of the year, leveraged, to a great extent, by the activity of coke, petroleum products and biofuels (diesel fuel and motor gasoline).

Ceará (8.7%), Santa Catarina (6.8%), Mato Grosso do Sul (5.2%), Goiás (3.9%), Maranhão (3.8%), São Paulo (3.8%), Pará (3.8%), Pernambuco (3.4%) and Paraná (3.3%) also recorded more intense positive rates than the national average (3.1%), whereas Bahia (3.1%), Minas Gerais (2.9%), Mato Grosso (2.9%), Rio de Janeiro (2.5%), Amazonas (2.2%), Northeast Region (1.8%) and Espírito Santo (0.2%) were the other places that grew their output in the cumulative index in the year. 

On the other hand, Rio Grande do Sul (-0.2%) recorded the only retreat in the output in the cumulative index for the nine months of 2024, maily pressed by the negative behavior of the sectors of machinery and equipment (harvesters, agricultural tractors, backhoe loaders and seeders, planters or fertilizers) and food products (rice and powdered milk, animal feed, sterilized/UHT/long-life milk and bread).

Having advanced 2.6% in September 2024, the cumulative index over the last 12 months remained with a positive rate and stepped up the growth pace over the result of August (2.4%), July (2.2%), June (1.5%) and May 2024 (1.2%).

In regional terms, 16 out of 18 places sureyed recorded positive rates in September 2024, though only ten were more dynamic than the indexes of last August. Ceará (from 5.4% to 7.3%), Northeast Region (from 0.1% to 1.7%), Bahia (from 2.5% to 4.0%), Pernambuco (from 3.2% to 4.6%), Mato Grosso do Sul (from 3.2% to 4.3%) and Maranhão (from 1.5% to 2.4%) registered the major gains between August and September 2024, whereas Rio Grande do Norte (from 12.9% to 7.7%), Pará (from 6.9% to 5.5%), Rio de Janeiro (from 4.8% to 3.5%) and Espírito Santo (from 6.1% to 5.0%) recorded the biggest losses between the two periods.