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In March, industry advances in 11 of the 15 locations surveyed

May 19, 2023 09h00 AM | Last Updated: May 22, 2023 05h33 PM

In March 2023, national industrial production grew 1.1% compared to February, in the seasonally adjusted series, and eleven of the fifteen areas surveyed had positive rates.

The biggest advances were in Mato Grosso (9.3%), Amazonas (8.7%) and Pernambuco (8.1%). The four negative results were in Espírito Santo (-1.8%), Santa Catarina (-1.4%), Goiás (-1.4%) and Paraná (-1.3%).

The quarterly moving average was 0.2%. In ten of the fifteen areas surveyed, this average was positive, with a highlight to Pernambuco (9.9%), Amazonas (5.7%), Northeast Region (5.1%), Espírito Santo (5.1%), Bahia (3.5%), Pará (2.8%) and Minas Gerais (2.1%). The main decreases came from Rio Grande do Sul (-2.3%) and São Paulo (-1.2%).

Compared to the same month a year ago, industry grew by 0.9% in March, with positive results in nine of the 18 areas surveyed. Amazonas (23.5%), Mato Grosso do Sul (8.6%) and Minas Gerais (7.3%) had the biggest advances.

In the cumulative result for the year, compared to the same period of 2022, the reduction in national production (-0.4%) reached thirteen of the eighteen areas surveyed, with a highlight to Rio Grande do Sul (-9.2%), Mato Grosso (- 7.4%) and Bahia (-5.2%).

Eleven of the 15 areas surveyed showed positive rates in March 2023, in the seasonally adjusted series. Mato Grosso (9.3%), Amazonas (8.7%) and Pernambuco (8.1%) recorded the sharpest advances, with the former eliminating the loss of 7.7% recorded in the first two months of the year; the second, marking the fourth consecutive month of growth in production, period in which it accumulated gain of 20.7%; and the latter accumulating expansion of 33.7% in the first three months of 2023.

Short-Term Indicators of Industry - Regional Results - March 2023
Areas Change (%)
March 2023/ February 2023* March 2023/
March 2022
Cumulative January/March
Cumulative in the Last 12 Months
Amazonas 8.7 23.5 14.8 7.5
Pará 4.3 3.1 -2.2 -7.0
Northeast Region 6.8 -1.0 -4.2 -1.2
Maranhão - 6.6 8.3 -
Ceará 4.0 -1.8 -4.3 -3.4
Rio Grande do Norte - 1.3 -2.7 -
Pernambuco 8.1 -2.3 -3.3 -3.3
Bahia 5.6 0.7 -5.2 0.6
Minas Gerais 1.5 7.3 8.0 1.1
Espírito Santo -1.8 -1.1 -2.9 -9.9
Rio de Janeiro 0.7 5.8 6.1 5.1
São Paulo 0.2 -2.4 -3.0 0.5
Paraná -1.3 -1.0 -0.3 -3.8
Santa Catarina -1.4 -3.1 -4.1 -3.7
Rio Grande do Sul 5.6 -6.5 -9.2 -1.2
Mato Grosso do Sul - 8.6 3.1 -
Mato Grosso 9.3 6.7 -7.4 10.2
Goiás -1.4 -5.3 -1.7 -2.1
Brazil 1.1 0.9 -0.4 0.0
* Seasonally adjusted series

Northeast Region (6.8%), Bahia (5.6%), Rio Grande do Sul (5.6%), Pará (4.3%), Ceará (4.0%) and Minas Gerais (1.5 %) also showed higher positive rates than the national average (1.1%), while Rio de Janeiro (0.7%) and São Paulo (0.2%) completed the set of places with positive rates in March 2023.

On the other hand, Espírito Santo (-1.8%), Santa Catarina (-1.4%), Goiás (-1.4%) and Paraná (-1.3%) registered the negative results in this month.

The quarterly moving average index for industry was 0.2% in the quarter ended in March 2023 compared to the level of the previous month, after registering -0.2% in February and 0.0% in January. There were positive rates in ten of the 15 areas surveyed, with a highlight to Pernambuco (9.9%), Amazonas (5.7%), Northeast Region (5.1%), Espírito Santo (5.1%), Bahia (3 .5%), Pará (2.8%) and Minas Gerais (2.1%). The main decreases came from Rio Grande do Sul (-2.3%) and São Paulo (-1.2%).

In relation to March 2022, the industry grew by 0.9%, with positive results in nine of the 18 areas surveyed. March 2023 (23 days) had one business day more than the same month of the previous year (22). In that month, Amazonas (23.5%), Mato Grosso do Sul (8.6%), Minas Gerais (7 .3%), Mato Grosso (6.7%), Maranhão (6.6%), Rio de Janeiro (5.8%), Pará (3.1%) and Rio Grande do Norte (1.3%) recorded positive rates above the national average. Bahia (0.7%) completed the set of areas on the rise.

On the other hand, Rio Grande do Sul (-6.5%) and Goiás (-5.3%) registered the sharpest declines, pressured by the negative behavior in the sectors of coke, petroleum products and biofuels (diesel fuel, motor gasoline, liquefied petroleum gas and naphtha) and food products (whole grape juice, frozen poultry meat and offal, frozen pork meat, sausage or salami products and other poultry meat preparations, sterilized/UHT/Long Life milk and animal feed), in the first place; and chemical products (deodorants, chemical fertilizers of the NPK formulas, potassium chlorides, hair preparations and soaps or detergents), manufacture of apparel and accessories (t-shirts, long trousers, shirts, blouses and the like for men and shorts, dungarees , shorts, pants and the like for women's use) and food products (fresh or chilled beef, fresh or chilled poultry meat and offal, raw soybean oil and rice), in the second. Santa Catarina (-3.1%), São Paulo (-2.4%), Pernambuco (-2.3%), Ceará (-1.8%), Espírito Santo (-1.1%), Northeast Region (-1.0%) and Paraná (-1.0%) showed the other negative results this month.

The sharp result in Amazonas is largely due to the activities of computer equipment, electronic and optical products (memory units, cell phones, televisions and ATMs), coke, petroleum products and biofuels (motor gasoline, aviation kerosene and naphtha), other transportation equipment (motorcycles and their parts and accessories), machinery and equipment (accounting machines, ticket issuing machines and the like, and wall, window or transportable air conditioners, including those of the split system) and beverages (industrial syrup preparations for  beverages).

In the cumulative result for the year, compared to the same period of the previous year, the reduction verified in national production (-0.4%) reached 13 of the 18 areas surveyed, with a highlihgt to Rio Grande do Sul (-9.2%), Mato Grosso (-7.4%) and Bahia (-5.2%), pressured, to a large extent, by the declines in the sectors of coke, petroleum products and biofuels (diesel fuel, motor gasoline, liquefied petroleum gas and fuel oils), food products (whole grape juice, frozen pork meat, frozen poultry meat and offal, pies, bagasse, bran and other residues from soybean extraction, sausage or salami products and other poultry meat preparations and animal feed) and chemical products (polypropylene, low and high density polyethylene, linear polyethylene, chemical fertilizers of the NPK formulas and unsaturated ethylene), in the first place; of chemical products (chemical fertilizers of the NPK formulas), in the second; and mining and quarrying industries (crude petroleum oils and natural gas), coke, petroleum products and biofuels (motor gasoline and diesel fuel) and chemical products (acrylic and methacrylic acid, unsaturated ethylene and propylene and oxygen), in the third.

On the other hand, Amazonas (14.8%), Maranhão (8.3%) and Minas Gerais (8.0%) recorded the sharpest advances, driven, to a large extent, by the activities of information technology equipment, electronic and optical products (memory units, televisions, cell phones, ATMs, video signal receivers-decoders and radios for motor vehicles), other transportation equipment (motorcycles and their parts and accessories), coke, petroleum products and biofuels (motor gasoline, naphtha and aviation kerosene) and beverages (industrial syrup preparations for beverages), at the first location; pulp, paper and paper products (cellulose) and food products (bread, cake, rice, frozen beef and ready-to-eat desserts), in the second; and mining and quarrying industries (iron ores) and coke, petroleum products and biofuels (diesel fuel, motor gasoline, petroleum bitumen and aviation kerosene), in the third.

Comparing the last quarter of 2022 with the first quarter of 2023, both comparisons against the same periods of the previous year, five of the 15 locations surveyed showed a loss of dynamism, thus accompanying the movement observed in the national total, which went from 0.6% to -0.4%. São Paulo (from 5.8% to -3.0%), Mato Grosso (from 1.0% to -7.4%) and Rio Grande do Sul (from -1.8% to -9.2%) showed the steepest losses, while Pernambuco (from -18.5% to -3.3%), Amazonas (from 0.6% to 14.8%), Espírito Santo (from -16.7% to -2. 9%), Paraná (from -10.8% to -0.3%), Northeast Region (from -12.2% to -4.2%), Ceará (from -11.0% to -4.3 %) and Pará (from -8.7% to -2.2%) marked the main advances.

The cumulative index in the last 12 months did not change (0.0%) in March 2023. Nine of the 15 areas surveyed recorded negative rates in March 2023, but six showed greater dynamism compared to the February 2023 indices. Amazonas (out of 4 .8% to 7.5%), Pará (from -7.7% to -7.0%), Santa Catarina (from -4.1% to -3.7%) and Minas Gerais (from 0.6% to 1.1%) registered the biggest gains between February and March 2023, while Pernambuco (from -2.1% to -3.3%), Goiás (from -0.9% to -2.1%) ,Rio Grande do Sul (from -0.3% to -1.2%), Bahia (from 1.2% to 0.6%), Mato Grosso (from 10.7% to 10.2%), Region Northeast (from -0.7% to -1.2%) and Ceará (from -3.0% to -3.4%) showed the main losses.