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Industry retreats in 12 out of 15 places surveyed in September

November 08, 2022 09h00 AM | Last Updated: November 09, 2022 04h03 PM

With the retreat of 0.7% of the national industry between August and September 2022 in the seasonally-adjusted series, 12 out of 15 places surveyed by the IBGE registered negative rates, highlighted by Santa Catarina (-5.1%) and Paraná (-4.3%). Pará (-3.7%), São Paulo (-3.3%), Goiás (-2.9%), Amazonas (-2.9%), Espírito Santo (-2.2%), Minas Gerais (-1.7%), Bahia (-1.3%) and Rio de Janeiro (-1.1%) also recorded more intense retreats than the national average. Mato Grosso (-0.4%) and Rio Grande do Sul (-0.2%) were the other places with negative indexes this month.

On the other hand, Ceará (3.7%) and Pernambuco (2.0%) registered the highest rates in September and the Northeast Region (0.6%) reported the other positive rate this month.

Compared with September 2021, the industrial sector grew 0.4%, rising in eight out of 15 places surveyed. Considering the quarterly moving average, 11 out of 15 places surveyed retreated.

The cumulative indicator in the year was negative in eight out of 15 places surveyed, highlighted by Pará (-8.8%) and Espírito Santo (-4.9%). In terms of the cumulative index in the last 12 months, nine out of 15 places surveyed recorded negative rates.

Regional Results of Industry - September 2022
Places  Variação (%)
September 2022 /August 2022* September 2022 /September 2021 Cumulative January-September Cumulative in the Last 12 Months
Amazonas -2.9 13.7 4.8 1.2
Pará -3.7 -13.4 -8.8 -8.4
Região Nordeste 0.6 3.4 0.9 -2.6
Ceará 3.7 2.5 -3.7 -6.6
Pernambuco 2.0 1.7 -2.9 -3.9
Bahia -1.3 -3.0 5.6 0.6
Minas Gerais -1.7 -3.6 -2.3 -2.3
Espírito Santo -2.2 -14.7 -4.9 -4.2
Rio de Janeiro -1.1 4.4 3.9 4.5
São Paulo -3.3 0.2 -1.5 -3.4
Paraná -4.3 -8.0 -1.8 -1.6
Santa Catarina -5.1 -6.2 -3.9 -5.1
Rio Grande do Sul -0.2 4.7 1.7 0.9
Mato Grosso -0.4 37.5 25.7 23.2
Goiás -2.9 -0.6 1.4 0.7
Brazil -0.7 0.4 -1.1 -2.3
Source: IBGE. Diretoria de Pesquisas. Coordenação de Estatísticas Conjunturais em Empresas 
* Seasonally-adjusted series

In the seasonally-adjusted series, 12 out of 15 places surveyed registered negative rates, highlighted by S (-5.1%) and Paraná (-4.3%), the former retreating 10.2% in two consecutive months of drops in the output and the latter recording the fourth consecutive negative rate and accumulating a loss of 8.0% in this period.

Pará (-3.7%), São Paulo (-3.3%), Goiás (-2.9%), Amazonas (-2.9%), Espírito Santo (-2.2%), Minas Gerais (-1.7%), Bahia (-1.3%) and Rio de Janeiro (-1.1%) also reported more intense declines than the national average (-0.7%), whereas Mato Grosso (-0.4%) and Rio Grande do Sul (-0.2%) were the other places with negative indexes.

The most intense expansions occurred in Ceará (3.7%) and Pernambuco (2.0%), the former offsetting part of the cumulative loss of 4.6% in the June-August 2022 period and the latter stepping up the growth registered last August (0.1%). Having advanced 0.6%, the Northeast Region recorded a positive rate this month as well.

The quarterly moving average was -0.3% in the quarter ended in September 2022 over the previous month, after also retreating last August (-0.2%), when it interrupted the predominantly upward path started in November 2021. Eleven out of 15 places surveyed registered negative rates this month, highlighted by the sharper retreats recorded in Espírito Santo (-4.7%), Bahia (-3.8%), Santa Catarina (-2.6%), Paraná (-2.4%), Pará (-1.9%), Northeast Region (-1.4%) and Minas Gerais (-1.0%).

In contrast, Mato Grosso (1.7%) and Rio de Janeiro (1.4%) rose in September.

Compared with September 2021, the national industrial sector advanced 0.4% in September 2022, with eight out of 15 places surveyed reporting positive rates. This month, Mato Grosso (37.5%) and Amazonas (13.7%) registered the most significant two-digit expansions. Rio Grande do Sul (4.7%), Rio de Janeiro (4.4%), Northeast Region (3.4%), Ceará (2.5%) and Pernambuco (1.7%) also recorded higher positive rates than the national average (0.4%), whereas São Paulo (0.2%) was the other place that increased the output this month.

On the other hand, Espírito Santo (-14.7%) and Pará (-13.4%) recorded the steepest retreats in September 2022. Paraná (-8.0%), Santa Catarina (-6.2%), Minas Gerais (-3.6%), Bahia (-3.0%) and Goiás (-0.6%) reported the other negative results this month. It is worth mentioning that September 2022 (21 days) had the same number of business days as the same month a year ago (21).

In the cumulative index in the year in 2022 (January-September) over the same period of 2021, the reduction of -1.1% in industry reached eight out of 15 places surveyed, highlighted by Pará (-8.8%) and Espírito Santo (-4.9%). Santa Catarina (-3.9%), Ceará (-3.7%), Pernambuco (-2.9%), Minas Gerais (-2.3%), Paraná (-1.8%) and São Paulo (-1.5%) were the other places that retreated the output in the cumulative index in the year.

Conversely, Mato Grosso (25.7%) registered the highest cumulative rise in the year. Bahia (5.6%), Amazonas (4.8%), Rio de Janeiro (3.9%), Rio Grande do Sul (1.7%), Goiás (1.4%) and Northeast Region (0.9%) recorded the other positive rates in the same period.

Having declined 2.3% in September 2022, the cumulative indicator over the last 12 months reduced the pace of loss compared with the months of July (-3.0%) and August (-2.7%). In regional terms, nine out of 15 places surveyed recorded negative rates in September 2022 and nine showed higher dynamism against the index of the previous month.

Mato Grosso (from 18.9% to 23.2%), Amazonas (from -1.2% to 1.2%), Northeast Region (from -4.2% to -2.6%), Ceará (from -8.0% to -6.6%). Bahia (from -0.5% to 0.6%) and Goiás (from -0.2% to 0.7%) registered the major gains between August and September 2022, whereas Espírito Santo (from -2.9% to -4.2%), Paraná (from -0.9% to -1.6%) and Minas Gerais (from -1.6% to -2.3%) recorded the major losses between the two periods.