With the null change (0.0%) of the domestic industry from May to June 2021, in the seasonally adjusted series, ten of the 15 places surveyed presented negative rates. The sharpest drops occurred in Paraná (-5.7%) and in Pará (-5.7%). Conversely, the biggest advances were in Bahia (10.5%) and in the Northeast Region (6.4%).

Compared to 2020, ten of the 15 places surveyed had positive results.

The quarterly moving average dropped in eight of the fifteen places surveyed and the sharpest drops were: Paraná (-3.5%), Bahia (-3.1%), Pará (-2.6%), Northeast Region (-2.5%) and Pernambuco (-1.2%)..

The cumulative index of the year (January-June) was positive in 12 of 15 places surveyed, with highlight to Ceará (26.8%), Amazonas (26.6%) and Santa Catarina (26.1%.)

The cumulative index in 12 months had 12 of the 15 places surveyed with positive rates.

In the seasonally-adjusted series, ten of the fifteen places surveyed recorded negative rates, with the sharpest drops recorded by Paraná (-5.7%) and Pará (-5.7). The former had the third drop in a row and accumulated a 10.2% reduction in the period; whereas the latter deepened last May’s decrease (-2.4%).

Pernambuco (-2.8%), Mato Grosso (-1.9%), Espírito Santo (-1.6%), Goiás (-1.1%), Rio Grande do Sul (-0.9%), São Paulo (-0.9%), Minas Gerais (-0.6%) and Santa Catarina (-0.3%) are the other places with production decline this month.

On the other hand, Bahia (10.5%) and Northeast Region (6.4%) registered the biggest expanses, with the former recording the second positive rate in a row and the highest one since July 2020 (11.7%); and the latter interrupting six consecutive months of production decrease, a period of 21.1% cumulative loss. Amazonas (4.4%), Ceará (3.8%) and Rio de Janeiro (2.8%) recorded the other positive results of June 2021.

The quarterly moving average had no change (0.0%) in the quarter ended in June 2021 over the previous month level. In term of areas, eight of the 15  places surveyed had negative rates, with a highlight to Paraná (-3.5%), Bahia (-3.1%), Pará (-2.6%), Northeast Region (-2.5%) and Pernambuco (-1.2%).

On the other hand, Ceará (4.3%), Rio de Janeiro (3.3%), Amazonas (2.2%) and Minas Gerais (1.2%) had the major advances in June 2021.

Compared with June 2020, the domestic industrial sector increased 12% in June 2021, with ten of the 15  places surveyed recording positive rates. Espírito Santo (34.3%) and Ceará (31.1%) had the sharpest expanses.

Amazonas (24.0%), Santa Catarina (23.2%), Minas Gerais (23.1%), Rio de Janeiro (15.3%), São Paulo (14.6%) and Rio Grande do Sul (13.4%) also recorded sharper increases than the industry’s average, while Paraná (8,2%) and Northeast Region (3.5%) close the set of places with positive indices this month.

Conversely, Pará (-8.0%) and Bahia (-7.9%) recorded the sharpest decreases in June 2021. Mato Grosso (-6.9%), Goiás (-4.2%) and Pernambuco (-2.7%) also registered negative rates this month.

In this comparison, it is worth mentioning that 2021 had the same number of business day as June 2020 (21 days). Of note is the fact that this month had high positive results mostly due to the low basis of comparison, for the same month a year ago was deeply influenced by the shutdowns in several industrial plants because of the social isolation measures related to the Covid-19 pandemic.

In the cumulative index of 2021 (January-June), against the same period a year ago, the national expansion (12.9%) reached 12 of the 15 places surveyed, with a highlight to Ceará (26.8%), Amazonas (26.6%) and Santa Catarina (26.1%).

Rio Grande do Sul (20.9%), Minas Gerais (19.1%), Paraná (17.9%) and São Paulo (17.6%) also recorded positive rates above the national average, while Espírito Santo (11.3%), Pernambuco (8.0%), Rio de Janeiro (4.1%), Pará (1.7%) and Northeast Region (0.4%) close the set of places with production advance this month.

On the other hand, Bahia (-15.0%) indicated the sharpest retreat in the cumulative index of the first six months of the year. Mato Grosso (-5.5%) and Goiás (-4.2%) also showed negative rates in the cumulative index of January-June of 2021.

Comparing quarters, the second of 2021 had the sharpest expansion since the beginning of the time series in this comparison against the same period a year ago (22.6%). There was gain of pace in 14 of the 15 places surveyed. Amazonas (0.3% to 70.2%), Ceará (5.7% to 62.4%), Espírito Santo (-4.7% to 32.6%), Minas Gerais (8.9% to 29.3%), São Paulo (8.3% to 27.6%), Santa Catarina (17.5% to 36.4%), Rio de Janeiro (-4.4% to 14.0%), Rio Grande do Sul (12.8% to 30.2%), Paraná (10.5% to 26.1%) and Northeast Region (-6.1% to 9.1%) had the highest gains between the two periods.

Pará (3.1% to 0.2%) had the only loss. It is worth highlighting in those positive results the influence of the low basis of comparison, as in the second quarter of 2020 the sector recorded relevant losses not only for the national overall, but also for mot of the places surveyed.

The cumulative index in 12 months advanced 6.6% and 12 of the 15 places surveyed registered positive rates and 12  recorded more dynamism in relation to May. Espírito Santo (-4.3% to 0.6%), Ceará (11.1% to 15.2%), Santa Catarina (12.0% to 15.0%), Amazonas (13.3% to 16.1%), Minas Gerais (8.6% to 11.1%), São Paulo (63.% to 8.7%) and Rio Grande do Sul (9.7% to 12.0%) had the main gains between May and June 2021.

Mato Grosso (-5.7% to -7.3%), Goiás (-0.4% to -1.6%) and Pernambuco (9.4% to 9.0%) recorded the losses between the periods.