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In January, industry declines in six of the 15 areas surveyed

March 13, 2024 09h00 AM | Last Updated: March 15, 2024 09h18 AM

With a 1.6% drop in national industry in January, in the seasonally adjusted series, six of the 15 areas surveyed by IBGE in this indicator showed negative rates.

The biggest declines were recorded in Espírito Santo (-6.3%) and Pará (-4.9%).

Rio Grande do Sul (-3.8%), Goiás (-3.3%), Santa Catarina (-3.1%) and Ceará (-0.2%) completed the set of places with negative results. Amazonas (16.7%) recorded double-digit expansion, the highest of the month. Mato Grosso (4.4%), Northeast Region (3.2%), Bahia (2.1%), Paraná (1.9%), Minas Gerais (1.0%), São Paulo (0.8% ), Rio de Janeiro (0.8%) and Pernambuco (0.5%) showed the other positive results in this indicator.

In relation to the quarterly moving average, 11 of the 15 places surveyed recorded positive rates in the quarter ending in January, with a highlight to Amazonas (7.3%), Ceará (2.1%), Paraná (1.6%), Northeast Region (1.3%), Minas Gerais (1.3%) and Bahia (1.1%). In comparison with the same month of the previous year, there was growth of 3.6% in the country's industrial sector, with growth in 16 of the 18 areas surveyed. Among them, Rio Grande do Norte (30.6%), Amazonas (11.7%) and Goiás (10.2%) stand out with the biggest expansions.

In the last 12 months, the industrial sector increased 0.4%, with positive rates in 10 of the 18 areas surveyed.

Short-term Indicators of Industry
Regional Results
January 2024
Places  Variação (%)
January 2024/
December 2023*
January 2024/
January 2023
Cumulative
January-January
Cumulative in the last 12 months
Amazonas 16.7 11.7 11.7 2.1
Pará -4.9 5.1 5.1 6.2
Região Nordeste 3.2 1.3 1.3 -3.0
Maranhão - -6.6 -6.6 -6.2
Ceará -0.2 3.6 3.6 -4.7
Rio Grande do Norte - 30.6 30.6 17.4
Pernambuco 0.5 1.0 1.0 2.3
Bahia 2.1 8.0 8.0 -0.4
Minas Gerais 1.0 5.5 5.5 3.1
Espírito Santo -6.3 2.4 2.4 12.0
Rio de Janeiro 0.8 7.1 7.1 5.0
São Paulo 0.8 4.6 4.6 -1.1
Paraná 1.9 3.9 3.9 1.9
Santa Catarina -3.1 6.3 6.3 -0.5
Rio Grande do Sul -3.8 -4.5 -4.5 -4.5
Mato Grosso do Sul - 3.0 3.0 -0.9
Mato Grosso 4.4 9.5 9.5 7.0
Goiás -3.3 10.2 10.2 6.4
Brazil -1.6 3.6 3.6 0.4
Fonte: IBGE. Diretoria de Pesquisas. Coordenação de Estatísticas Conjunturais em Empresas
* Seasonally Adjusted Series

In the 1.6% decline in industrial production from December to January, in the seasonally adjusted series, six of the 15 areas surveyed showed negative rates. Espírito Santo (-6.3%) and Pará (-4.9%) recorded the sharpest drops, with both interrupting two consecutive months of production growth, a period in which their cumulative gains were of 6.5% and 4.5%, respectively. Rio Grande do Sul (-3.8%), Goiás (-3.3%) and Santa Catarina (-3.1%) also recorded negative rates above the national average (-1.6%), while Ceará (-0.2%) closed the set of places with negative indices.

On the other hand, Amazonas (16.7%) showed double-digit expansion and the highest increase this month, thus intensifying the 11.7% expansion seen in the previous month. Mato Grosso (4.4%), Northeast Region (3.2%), Bahia (2.1%), Paraná (1.9%), Minas Gerais (1.0%), São Paulo (0.8% ), Rio de Janeiro (0.8%) and Pernambuco (0.5%) recorded the other positive results of the month.

The quarterly moving average index for industry changed 0.2% in the quarter ending in January 2024 compared to the level of the previous month, thus remaining on the predominantly upward trend that began in February 2023. Eleven of the 15 locations surveyed indicated positive rates this month, with a highlight to the sharpest advances recorded by Amazonas (7.3%), Ceará (2.1%), Paraná (1.6%), Northeast Region (1.3%), Minas Gerais (1.3%) and Bahia (1.1%). On the other hand, Rio Grande do Sul, with a drop of 1.7%, recorded the most intense decline in January 2024.

In comparison with January 2023, the national industry grew 3.6% in January 2024, with positive rates in 16 of the 18 locations surveyed. It is worth mentioning that January 2024 (22 days) had the same number of working days as the same month in the previous year (22). This month, Rio Grande do Norte (30.6%), Amazonas (11.7%) and Goiás (10.2%) recorded double-digit and sharpest advances.

In Rio Grande do Norte, growth was mainly influenced by the positive behavior observed in the sector of coke, petroleum products and biofuels (diesel fuel and motor gasoline). The expansion in Amazonas was due to the result of the activities of computer equipment, electronic and optical products (televisions, encoded video signal receiver-decoder, devices for reception, conversion and transmission of images or data, desktop personal computers, assembled printed circuit boards and parts and accessories for data processing machines), machinery and equipment (wall, window or transportable air-conditioning units – including those of the split system type) and other transportation equipment (motorcycles and their parts and accessories).

In the case of Goiás, the explanation for the positive result lies in the behavior of the food products sectors (frozen, fresh or coolled beef, mayonnaise, frozen, fresh or chilled poultry meat and offal, pies, bagasse and bran from oil extraction soybeans, refined and crude soybean oil and cheeses), coke, petroleum products and biofuels (ethyl alcohol and biodiesel) and motor vehicles, trailers and bodies (cars).

Mato Grosso (9.5%), Bahia (8.0%), Rio de Janeiro (7.1%), Santa Catarina (6.3%), Minas Gerais (5.5%), Pará (5.1 %), São Paulo (4.6%) and Paraná (3.9%) also grew more than the national average (3.6%), while Ceará (3.6%), Mato Grosso do Sul (3.0 %), Espírito Santo (2.4%), Northeast Region (1.3%) and Pernambuco (1.0%) completed the set of places with positive results.

On the other hand, Maranhão (-6.6%) and Rio Grande do Sul (-4.5%) fell compared to the same period last year. These results are mainly explained by the pressure exerted by basic metal activities (aluminum oxide), in the first place, and by motor vehicles, trailers and bodies (cars, trailers and semi-trailers, bus bodies and auto parts) and machines and equipment (harvesting machines and their parts and pieces, agricultural tractors, seeders, planters or fertilizers, elevators or conveyors for goods and hydraulic motors), in the second.

The cumulative result in the last twelve months, by increasing 0.4% in January 2024, intensified the pace compared to the result recorded in December 2023 (0.2%), when the stability observed in November (0.0%), October (0.0%) and September (0.0%) of 2023 had been interrupted. Ten of the 18 places surveyed recorded positive rates in January 2024 and 14 showed greater dynamism compared to the rates of December 2023. Rio Grande do Norte (from 13.4% to 17.4%), Mato Grosso (from 5.3% to 7.0%), Bahia (from -1.9% to -0.4%), Espírito Santo (from 11.1% to 12.0%), Santa Catarina (from -1.4% to -0.5%) and Pará (from 5.4% to 6.2%) recorded the main gains between December 2023 and January 2024, while Maranhão (from -4.8% to -6.2%) showed the biggest loss between the two periods.