In April 2023, national industrial production decreased by 0.6% compared to March, in the seasonally adjusted series, and 10 of the 15 areas surveyed had negative rates.

The sharpest declines were in Amazonas (-14.2%) and Pernambuco (-5.5%). Rio Grande do Sul (2.2%) recorded the highest advance.

The quarterly moving average was positive in eight of the 15 areas surveyed, with a highlight to the sharp advances registered by Bahia (3.8%), Pará (2.7%), Pernambuco (2.6%), Northeast Region (2.2%) and Mato Grosso (1.0%). On the other hand, Goiás (-2.5%), Amazonas (-1.1%), Paraná (-1.0%) and Espírito Santo (-0.9%) showed the main decreases in April 2023.

Compared to the same month of the previous year, industry decreased by 2.7% in April, with negative results in 12 of the 18 areas surveyed. The most intense decreases were in Maranhão (-16.4%) Ceará (-7.8%), Rio Grande do Sul (-7.2%) and Pernambuco (-6.7%).

Industry Conjunctural Indicators - Regional Results - April 2023

Ten of the 15 areas surveyed showed negative rates in April, in the seasonally adjusted series, accompanying the negative change (-0.6%) in national industrial production. Amazonas (-14.2%) and Pernambuco (-5.5%) registered the sharpest declines, with the former interrupting four consecutive months of growth in production, a period in which it accumulated gain of 22.3%; and the second eliminating part of the 33.5% expansion accumulated in the first three months of 2023.

Ceará (-3.7%), Minas Gerais (-3.0%), Northeast Region (-2.4%), Paraná (-2.2%), Rio de Janeiro (-1.8%), Goiás (-1.5%) and Espírito Santo (-1.2%) also showed more intense falls than the national average (-0.6%), while São Paulo (-0.2%) completed the set of places with negative indexes in April 2023.

On the other hand, Rio Grande do Sul (2.2%) had the biggest increase in the month. Santa Catarina (1.1%), Bahia (1.1%), Pará (0.3%) and Mato Grosso (0.1%) brought the other positive results in April.

The quarterly moving average index of industry changed 0.1% in the quarter ended in April compared to the level of the previous month and eight of the 15 areas surveyed showed positive rates in that month, with a highlight to the sharper advances registered by Bahia (3, 8%), Pará (2.7%), Pernambuco (2.6%), Northeast Region (2.2%) and Mato Grosso (1.0%).

On the other hand, Goiás (-2.5%), Amazonas (-1.1%), Paraná (-1.0%) and Espírito Santo (-0.9%) showed the main decreases in April 2023.

Compared to April 2022, the industry retreated 2.7% in April 2023, with negative rates in 12 of the 18 areas surveyed. It is worth mentioning that April 2023 had one less business day (18 days) than the same month of the previous year (19).

Maranhão (-16.4%) showed a two-digit decrease and the most intense one, pressured mainly by the negative behavior observed in the sectors of basic metals (aluminium oxide), mining and quarrying industries (pelletized or sintered iron ores and natural gas) and beverages (beers, draft beer and soft drinks).

Ceará (-7.8%), Rio Grande do Sul (-7.2%), Pernambuco (-6.7%), Santa Catarina (-5.9%), Mato Grosso do Sul (-5.4% ), Northeast Region (-4.8%), Rio de Janeiro (-4.2%) and São Paulo (-3.6%) also registered sharper negative rates than the national average (-2.7%) , while Espírito Santo (-1.4%), Goiás (-1.3%) and Paraná (-0.9%) completed the set of areas with a decrease in production in the monthly index of April 2023.

On the other hand, Rio Grande do Norte (14.5%) and Mato Grosso (11.0%) had the highest rises, driven by the activities of coke, petroleum products and biofuels (fuel oils) and mining and quarrying industries (sea salt), in the first; and food products (fresh or cooled beef) and coke, petroleum products and biofuels (ethyl alcohol), in the second. Pará (5.1%), Minas Gerais (2.2%), Bahia (0.8%) and Amazonas (0.6%) showed the other positive results in that month.

In the cumulative indicator in the year, compared to the same period of the previous year, the fall in national production (-1.0%) reached 12 among the 18 areas surveyed, with a lighlight to Rio Grande do Sul (-8.7%). There were sharper declines than the national average in Ceará (-4.7%), Santa Catarina (-4.5%), Northeast Region (-4.3%), Pernambuco (-4.1%), Bahia ( -3.7%), Mato Grosso (-3.6%), São Paulo (-3.2%), Espírito Santo (-2.4%) and drops in Goiás (-1.5), Pará (-0.4%) and Paraná (-0.4%).

On the other hand, Amazonas (11.2%) and Minas Gerais (6.5%) registered the sharpest advances. Rio de Janeiro (3.4%), Maranhão (1.7%), Rio Grande do Norte (0.6%) and Mato Grosso do Sul (0.6%) showed the other positive results in that month.

When comparing the result of the last four months of 2022 with that of the first four months of 2023, both comparisons against the same periods of the previous year, five of the 15 locations surveyed showed a loss of dynamism, thus accompanying the movement observed in the national total, which changed from 0.2% to -1.0%.

Mato Grosso (from 8.1% to -3.6%), Rio Grande do Sul (from -0.4% to -8.7%) and São Paulo (from 3.7% to -3.2%) showed the sharpest losses, while Espírito Santo (from -15.4% to -2.4%), Pernambuco (from -16.2% to -4.1%), Pará (from -10.1% to - 0.4%), Paraná (from -9.9% to -0.4%), Amazonas (from 2.6% to 11.2%) and Northeast Region (from -8.9% to -4.3 %) stood out with the main advances between the two periods.

The cumulative index in the last 12 months showed a loss of pace compared to the result of the previous month (0.0%), when the sequence of ten months of negative results was interrupted.

In regional terms, ten of the 15 areas surveyed recorded negative rates in April 2023 and ten showed less dynamism compared to March 2023 indices. Rio de Janeiro (from 5.1% to 3.5%), Pernambuco (from -3 .3% to -4.9%), Bahia (from 0.6% to -0.9%), Northeast Region (from -1.2% to -2.4%), Ceará (from -3.2 % to -4.4%), Rio Grande do Sul (from -1.2% to -1.7%) and São Paulo (from 0.5% to 0.2%) recorded the biggest losses between March and April 2023, while Pará (from -7.0% to -6.1%), Paraná (from -3.8% to -3.4%) and Minas Gerais (from 1. 1% to 1.3%) showed the main gains between the two periods.