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In February, industry retreats in five out of 15 places surveyed

April 26, 2023 09h00 AM | Last Updated: April 27, 2023 04h23 PM

In the seasonally-adjusted series, the drop of 0.2% in the national industry in February was repeated by five out of 15 places surveyed by the IBGE.

The steepest retreats were in Rio Grande do Sul (-6.9%) and Mato Grosso (-4.9%), followed by Goiás (-2.5%), Ceará (-1.9%) and São Paulo (-0.7%). The highest rises were in Pernambuco (8.8%) and Bahia (4.9%), followed by Minas Gerais (3.3%), Pará (2.7%), the Northeast Region (2.5%), Santa Catarina (1.8%), Espírito Santo (1.6%), Amazonas (1.6%), Rio de Janeiro (1.1%) and Paraná (0.4%).

The quarterly moving average remained negative in five out of 15 places surveyed, highlighted by Rio Grande do Sul (-3.0%), São Paulo (-1.6%) and Mato Grosso (-1.4%). Compared with the same month a year ago, the industry retreated 2.4% in February, with negative figures in 12 out of 18 places surveyed. The sharpest drops were in Rio Grande do Sul (-13.3%), Mato Grosso (-13.0%) and Ceará (-11.4%).

Short-term Indicators of Industry - Regional Results - February 2023
Places Change (%)
February 2023/ January 2023* February 2023/ February 2022 Cumulative January-February Cumulative in the Last 12 Months
Amazonas 1.6 7.1 10.0 4.8
Pará 2.7 -4.9 -4.7 -7.7
Northeast Region 2.5 -6.3 -5.8 -0.7
Maranhão - 6.3 9.2 -
Ceará -1.9 -11.4 -5.6 -3.0
Rio Grande do Norte - 1.9 -4.6 -
Pernambuco 8.8 -4.8 -3.7 -2.0
Bahia 4.9 -6.1 -8.3 1.2
Minas Gerais 3.3 6.7 8.5 0.6
Espírito Santo 1.6 -0.6 -3.8 -9.9
Rio de Janeiro 1.1 6.4 4.8 4.9
São Paulo -0.7 -4.5 -3.3 0.4
Paraná 0.4 0.6 0.1 -3.9
Santa Catarina 1.8 -4.6 -4.7 -4.1
Rio Grande do Sul -6.9 -13.3 -10.4 -0.3
Mato Grosso do Sul - -3.4 0.6 -
Mato Grosso -4.9 -13.0 -13.8 10.7
Goiás -2.5 -2.7 0.3 -0.9
Brazil -0.2 -2.4 -1.1 -0.2
Source: IBGE, Diretoria de Pesquisas, Coordenação de Estatísticas Conjunturais em Empresas
*Seasonally-adjusted series

In the seasonally-adjusted series, five out of 15 places surveyed registered negative rates in February, following the negative change (-0.2%) of the national industrial production. The biggest drops were in Rio Grande do Sul (-6.9%) and Mato Grosso (-4.9%), both of them stepping up the decline in the previous month: -4.6% and -2.4%, respectively. Goiás (-2.5%), Ceará (-1.9%) and São Paulo (-0.7%) were the other places with negative indexes.

The highest rises were in Pernambuco (8.8%) and Bahia (4.9%), the former recording the second consecutive month of growth, a period in which it accumulated a gain of 27.1%, and the latter resuming its growth after changing -0.2% in the previous month. The other positive figures this month came from Minas Gerais (3.3%), Pará (2.7%), the Northeast Region (2.5%), Santa Catarina (1.8%), Espírito Santo (1.6%), Amazonas (1.6%), Rio de Janeiro (1.1%) and Paraná (0.4%).

The quarterly moving average index for industry changed -0.2% in the quarter ended in February over the previous month and five out of 15 places surveyed reported negative rates this month, highlighted by the steepest retreat in Rio Grande do Sul (-3.0%), São Paulo (-1.6%) and Mato Grosso (-1.4%). On the other hand, Pernambuco (6.9%), Espírito Santo (3.8%), Paraná (3.1%), the Northeast Region (3.0%), Amazonas (2.9%) and Bahia (2.2%) registered the major advances in February 2023.

In comparison with February 2022, the industrial sector dropped 2.4% in February 2023, with negative rates in 12 out of 15 places surveyed.  February 2023 (18 days) had less on business day than the same month in 2022 (19). This month, Rio Grande do Sul (-13.3%), Mato Grosso (-13.0%) and Ceará (-11.4%) registered the most intense two-digit retreats.

The drop in the Rio Grande do Sul industry was influenced by the sectors of coke, petroleum products and biofuels (diesel fuel, motor gasoline and fuel oils), motor vehicles, trailers and bodies (car pieces and cars), food products (rice, frozen pork, frozen poultry and giblets, cured chicken and related products and other preparations from poultry, animal feed and sterilized/UHT/long-life milk), chemicals (NPK-based chemical fertilizers and low and high-density polyethylene) and machinery and equipment (backhoe loaders, harvesters, seeders, planters or fertilizers and agricultural tractors).

In Mato Grosso, the drop was mainly leveraged by chemicals (NPK-based chemical fertilizers) and food products (frozen poultry and giblets and refined soybean oil).

The retreat in Ceará was influenced by the following activities: manufacture of wearing apparel and accessories (children´s wearing apparel and its accessories, breeches, dungarees, shorts, trousers and the like, panties, bras and men´s shirts, blouses and the like), basic metals (bars, rebars, steel wire and other long rolled steel products), fabricated metal products (aluminum cans for packaging, iron or steel containers for transportation or gas storage and corks, caps or metallic capsules), electrical machinery and apparatus (transformers, parts and pieces for generators, domestic portable appliances, stoves and fans) and chemicals (insecticide for agricultural use).

The Northeast Region (-6.3%), Bahia (-6.1%), Pará (-4.9%), Pernambuco (-4.8%), Santa Catarina (-4.6%), São Paulo (-4.5%), Mato Grosso do Sul (-3.4%) and Goiás (-2.7%) also recorded higher negative rates than the national average (-2.4%) and Espírito Santo (-0.6%) was the other place that reduced its output in the monthly index of February 2023.

In contrast, Amazonas (7.1%), Minas Gerais (6.7%), Rio de Janeiro (6.4%) and Maranhão (6.3%) reported the sharpest expansions. Rio Grande do Norte (1.9%) and Paraná (0.6%) registered the other positive figures this month.

In the cumulative index in the year, against the same period a year ago, the drop in the national output (-1.1%) reached 11 out of 18 places surveyed, highlighted by Mato Grosso (-13.8%), Rio Grande do Sul (-10.4% and Bahia (-8.3%). The Northeast Region (-5.8%), Ceará (-5.6%), Pará (-4.7%), Santa Catarina (-4.7%), Rio Grande do Norte (-4.6%), Espírito Santo (-3.8%), Pernambuco (-3.7%) and São Paulo (-3.3%) retreated in this indicator as well.

The biggest expansions came from the following places: Amazonas (10.0%), Maranhão (9.2%) and Minas Gerais (8.5%). Rio de Janeiro (4.8%), Mato Grosso do Sul (0.6%), Goiás (0.3%) and Paraná (0.1%) recorded the other positive figures this month in th cumulative index in the year.

Comparing the last quarter of 2022 with the first bimester this year, both of them against the same periods in the previous years, five out of 15 places surveyed lost dynamism, following the movement of the national total, which changed from 0.6% to -1.1%. The steepest losses were in Mato Grosso (from 1.0% to -13.8%), São Paulo (from 5.8% to -3.3%) and Rio Grande do Sul (from -1.8% to -10.4%), whereas Pernambuco (from -18.5% to -3.7%), Espírito Santo (from -16.7% to -3.8%), Paraná (from -10.8% to 0.1%), Amazonas (from 0.6% to 10.0%), the Northeast Region (from -12.2% to -5,8%) and Ceará (from -11.0% to -5.6%) reported the major advances.

Having changed -0.2% in February 2023, the cumulative index in the last 12 months repeated the result of last January and interrupted the upward trend started in July 2022 (-2.8%). Nine out of 15 places surveyed recorded negative rates in February 2023, though 11 showed less dynamism against the index of January 2023. Mato Grosso (from 13.7% to 10.7%), Goiás (from 0.4% to -0.9%), Rio Grande do Sul (from 0.4% to -0.3%), Bahia (from 1.7% to 1.2%), Pernambuco (from -1.6% to -2.0%), Amazonas (from 5.1% to 4.8%) and Pará (from -7.5% to -7.7%) registered the biggest losses between the two periods. Minas Gerais (from 0.1% to 0.6%), Rio de Janeiro (from 4.5% to 4.9%) and Paraná (from -4.1% to -3.9%) showed the gains between January and February 2023.