Services sector remains stable (0.0%) in November
January 16, 2019 09h00 AM | Last Updated: January 22, 2019 10h52 AM
In the seasonally-adjusted series, the services sector registered a null change (0.0%) in November against the previous month, maintaining the stability picture of September (-0.3%) and October (0.0%). In the seasonally-unadjusted series, volume of services rose 0.9% over November 2017, the fourth positive rate in a row for the first time since 2014. The cumulative index in the year changed -0.1%. Having changed from -0.2% in October to 0.0% in November, the cumulative rate over the last 12 months interrupted a series of 41 negative rates, maintaining the upward path since April 2017 (-5.1%).
| Indicators of the Monthly Survey of Services Brazil - November 2018 |
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|---|---|---|
| Period | Change (%) | |
| Volume | Nominal Revenue | |
| November 18 / October 18* | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| November 18 / November 17 | 0.9 | 3.8 |
| Cumulative January-November | -0.1 | 2.6 |
| Cumulative in the Last 12 Months | 0.0 | 2.8 |
| Source: IBGE, Diretoria de Pesquisas, Coordenação de Indústria *Seasonally-adjusted series |
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Despite the null change (0.0%), positive rates prevailed in sectoral terms, with advances in four out of the five activities. The sector of information and communication services (0.8%) stood out, as it grew for three consecutive months and accrued a gain of 1.4%. The other advances were in transportation, support activities for transportation and mailing (0.3%), services rendered to families (0.4%) and professional, administrative and complementary services (0.1%). The only negative influence came from the activity of other services (-0.2%), which returned a small part of the advance of 5.7% recorded in October. The support material of the Monthly Survey of Services is on the right side of this page.
Still in the seasonally-adjusted series, the index of the quarterly moving average changed -0.1% in November against October (0.3%). Among the sector, only professional, administrative and complementary services (-0.9%) and transportation, support activities for transportation and mailing (-0.5%) dropped. Conversely, information and communication services (0.5%), other services (0.4%) and services rendered to families (0.3%) advanced this month.
| Monthly Survey of Services Indicators of Volume of Services, according to the dissemination activities November 2018 - Change (%) |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dissemination Activities | Month/Previous month (1) | Monthly (2) | Cumulative in the year (3) | Last 12 months (4) | ||||||||
| SEP | OCT | NOV | SEP | OCT | NOV | JAN-SEP | JAN-OCT | JAN-NOV | Up to SEP | Up to OCT | Up to NOV | |
| Volume of Services - Brazil | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | -0.4 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.3 | -0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1. Services rendered to families | 1.4 | -0.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 3.1 | -0.8 | -0.5 | -0.1 | -0.7 | -0.6 | -0.5 |
| 1.1 Housing and food services | 1.3 | -0.9 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| 1.2 Other services rendered to families | 1.9 | -0.8 | -0.7 | -3.0 | 1.1 | 2.0 | -4.9 | -4.3 | -3.7 | -4.6 | -4.5 | -4.3 |
| 2. Information and communication services | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | -1.2 | -0.9 | -0.7 | -0.9 | -0.6 | -0.5 |
| 2.1 Information and communication technology services (ICT) | 0.3 | 1.3 | -0.4 | 3.3 | 4.0 | 3.3 | -1.0 | -0.5 | -0.1 | -0.7 | -0.2 | 0.1 |
| 2.1.1 Telecommunications | -0.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | -0.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | -3.4 | -2.9 | -2.6 | -3.2 | -2.6 | -2.3 |
| 2.1.2 Information technology services | 1.3 | 3.9 | -1.4 | 12.2 | 9.3 | 9.4 | 4.6 | 5.1 | 5.5 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 5.0 |
| 2.2 Audiovisual services | 1.6 | -9.6 | 6.4 | -3.0 | -14.7 | -10.0 | -2.7 | -4.0 | -4.6 | -2.2 | -3.1 | -4.0 |
| 3. Professional, administrative and complementary services | -1.1 | -1.8 | 0.1 | -2.1 | -0.2 | -1.1 | -1.9 | -1.7 | -1.6 | -2.8 | -2.3 | -1.8 |
| 3.1 Technical-professional services | 1.6 | -3.0 | -4.5 | -2.4 | -1.2 | -4.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | -0.3 | -1.6 | -1.3 | -0.8 |
| 3.2 Administrative and complementary services | -1.9 | 0.0 | 0.3 | -2.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | -2.6 | -2.3 | -2.1 | -3.0 | -2.5 | -2.2 |
| 4. Transportation, support activities for transportation and mailing | -1.7 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| 4.1 Land transportation | -2.1 | -0.4 | -1.6 | 0.1 | 3.0 | -0.2 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| 4.2 Water transportation | 0.1 | 0.1 | -1.5 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 1.0 | -1.2 | -1.1 | -0.9 | 5.2 | 2.6 | 0.7 |
| 4.3 Air transportation | -1.7 | -2.0 | -3.9 | 20.1 | 16.2 | 6.5 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 4.5 | -4.3 | -0.7 | 2.4 |
| 4.4 Storage, support activities for transportation and mailing | 0.4 | -1.3 | 1.8 | -1.6 | -1.4 | 0.4 | -0.4 | -0.5 | -0.5 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 5. Other services | -4.2 | 5.7 | -0.2 | -4.1 | 2.5 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.8 | -0.8 | -0.1 | 1.1 |
| Source: IBGE, Diretoria de Pesquisas, Coordenação de Indústria (1) Base: immediately previous month - seasonally adjusted (2) Base: same month in the previous year (3) Base: same period in the previous year (4) Base: 12 previous months |
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Having advanced in four out of the five activities and in 48.8% of the 166 types of services surveyed, volume of services grew 0.9% in relation to November 2017. Among the activities, the major positive contribution came from information and communication services (1.2%). The other positive figures came from services rendered to families (3.1%), other services (3.7%) and transportation, support activities for transportation and mailing (0.6%). The only drop was in professional, administrative and complementary services (-1.1%).
Having retreated in three out of the five activities and in 57.2% of the 166 types of services surveyed, the cumulative index in the year changed -0.1% over the same period in 2017. Among the sectors, the negative impacts came from professional, administrative and complementary services (-1.6%) and information and communication (-0.7%). Services rendered to families (-0.1%) also registered a slight decline. On the other hand, the positive contributions came from transportation, support activities for transportation and mailing (1.3%) and other services (1.8%).
RESULTS BY REGION
In regional terms, 20 out of the 27 states retracted between October and November in the seasonally-adjusted series, despite the stability in the overall services (0.0%). Among the places that fell, the highlight was Rio de Janeiro (-2.4%), which accrued a loss of 4.8% in the last three months. Conversely, the major positive contribution came from São Paulo (0.7%), which accrued a gain of 2.2% since August.
In relation to November 2017, the expansion of volume of services in Brazil (0.9%) was followed by only 6 out of the 27 Federation Units. The major positive contribution came from São Paulo (4.9%), which advanced in all the five activities, highlighting information and communication services (8.6%), professional, administrative and complementary services (3.5%) and other services (10.0%). On the other hand, the most important negative influence came from Rio de Janeiro (-8.4%), whose three out of the five sectors retreated, highlighting the losses in information and communication services (-19.0%).
In the cumulative rate in the year over the same period in the previous year, the decrease in volume of services in Brazil (-0.1%) was widespread along the places surveyed, since 22 out of the 27 states also lost real revenue of services. The major negative impact came from Rio de Janeiro (-2.8%). The states of Ceará (-7.2%), Bahia
(-3.3%), Paraná (-1.8%) and Rio Grande do Sul (-1.5%) also declined. Conversely, the major positive contribution came from São Paulo (2.0%).
SPECIAL AGGREGATE OF TOURISM ACTIVITIES
The index of tourism activities fell 1.1% between October and November, representing the third consecutive negative rate and accruing a loss of 2.1% in this period. Five out of the 12 states surveyed dropped, highlighted by São Paulo (-2.7%), and the Federal District (-3.6%). The most relevant positive contributions came from Rio de Janeiro (0.7%) and Ceará (2.5%).
The tourism activities grew 3.5% over November 2017. In regional terms, tourism services increased in eight out of the 12 states, highlighted by São Paulo (7.8%), which registered its ninth positive rate in a row. Ceará (17.0%) and Bahia (5.7%) also recorded a relevant growth. The most important negative impacts came from Paraná (-8.0%) and Rio de Janeiro (-1.5%).
In the cumulative index in the year, the special aggregate of tourism activities advanced 2.0%. In regional terms, eight out of the 12 places surveyed also rose, highlighted by São Paulo (5.1%), Pernambuco (5.0%), Ceará (5.9%) and Santa Catarina (4.4%). Rio de Janeiro
(-3.9%) and Paraná (-5.5%) dropped in the cumulative rate in the year for the tourism activities.
