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Industrial output grows in 11 of the 14 places surveyed in October

December 10, 2013 09h00 AM | Last Updated: February 22, 2018 04h17 PM

The pace increase in the national industrial output from September to October, in the seasonally adjusted series, occurred in 11 of the 14 places surveyed, with a highlight to Ceará (3.8%), Pernambuco (2.9%), Pará (2.6%) and São Paulo (2.5%). With this month's results, the first place offset the contraction of 2.4% recorded last September; the second, recovered part of the loss of 12.1% accumulated between July and September; the third reverted the 1.5% drop seen in August and September, and the last one offset the previous month's fall of 2.3%.  Paraná (2.1%), Espírito Santo (1.9%), Minas Gerais (1.8%), Rio Grande do Sul (1.4%), Amazonas (0.9%), Santa Catarina (0.9%) and Goiás (0.6%) closed the set of places with positive rates this month. On the other hand, Bahia (-6.2%), pushed to a great extent by the losses seen in the sectors of chemicals and motor vehicles, the Northeast (-5.4%) and Rio de Janeiro (-1.5%) posted the negative results in October.

The complete publication of this survey can be accessed at

www.ibge.gov.br/english/estatistica/indicadores/industria/pimpfregional/.

In the seasonally adjusted series, the evolution of the quarterly moving average for the industry overall posted a positive change of 0.4% in the quarter ended in October against the previous month, interrupting the downward trend started last July. By areas, still in relation to the movement of the index on margin, nine of the 14 places registered positive rates, with a highlight to the advances seen in Goiás (1.9%), Minas Gerais (1.5%), São Paulo (1.3%), Paraná (1.1%) and Santa Catarina (0.9%). On the other hand, the Northeast Region(-3.0%), Bahia (-2.9%), Pernambuco (-2.3%) and Rio de Janeiro (-1.1%) posted the major drops this month.

In the comparison with the same month a year ago, the expansion seen in the national output reached in October 2013 seven of the 14 places surveyed, with Rio Grande do Sul (14.5%), Paraná (13.0%) and Ceará (11.8%) marking two-digit positive rates. Santa Catarina (4.9%) and Amazonas (1.9%) also grew above the national average (0.9%), whereas São Paulo (0.5%) and Pernambuco (0.2%) closed the set of places with positive results this month. It is worth mentioning that October 2013 (23 days) had one more workday than the same month in the prior year (22). On the other hand, Espírito Santo (-8.5%) had the sharpest pace of decrease this month, followed by Bahia (-2.8%), Rio de Janeiro (-2.6%), the Northeast Region (-2.4%), Pará (-1.9%), Goiás (-1.1%) and Minas Gerais (-0.2%).

In the cumulative indicator for January-October of 2013, the national industry sector posted an expansion of 1.6%, with prevalence of positive results among the areas, since ten of the 14 places surveyed presented output growth. With advances above the national average are Rio Grande do Sul (6.4%), Paraná (5.0%), Bahia (4.9%), Goiás (4.3%), Ceará (3.8%), Santa Catarina (2.1%), São Paulo (1.8%) and Amazonas (1.7%). The Northeast Region (1.2%) and Rio de Janeiro (0.8%) close the set of places with positive rates in the ten months of year 2013. In those places, the greatest dynamism was particularly influenced by the output rise in capital goods and of durable consumer goods, as well as the biggest production coming from petroleum refining and ethanol production, textiles, leather articles and footwear and food products. On the other hand, Espírito Santo (-7.5%) and Pará (-6.6%) registered the sharpest drops, reflecting especially the lowest production of basic metals, food products and mining and quarrying in the first area, and of basic metals, mining and quarrying and paper, pulp and paper products, in the second one. Minas Gerais, falling 0.8%, and Pernambuco (-0.1%) also posted negative results in the cumulative index in the year.

The annualized rate, which is the cumulative index over the last twelve months, expanding 1.0% in October 2013, recorded a figure close to the one recorded last September (1.1%). By areas, ten of the 14 places surveyed presented positive rates in October this year, but only six registered a bigger dynamism over last September's index. The main gains between September and October were seen in Rio Grande do Sul (from 1.9% to 3.6%), Paraná (from -1.2% to 0.4%), Ceará (from 1.6% to 3.0%) and Amazonas (from -0.8% to 0.6%), whereas the most significant losses came from Goiás (from 4.9% to 3.3%), Espírito Santo (from -6.6% to -7.7%) and Minas Gerais (from 0.8% to -0.1%).