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Industrial employment increased 0.4% in September

November 10, 2009 09h00 AM | Last Updated: August 27, 2018 11h27 AM

 

The rate remained positive for the third consecutive month, in the seasonally adjusted series. Compared to the same month in the previous year, the result remained negative   (-6.5%), and the same occurred to the index accumulated in the period Jan-Sep/09 (-5.6%). The number of hours paid increased 1.1% in the month/previous month comparison (seasonally adjusted result), but remained negative compared to the figures obtained in the same month last year (-6.4%) and accumulated in the first nine months of the year (-6.3%). Real payroll increased 1.7% in the month/previous month comparison, and was negative (-4.9%) in relation to Sept/08 and accumulated in the year (-2.5%)

  

SALARIED EMPLOYED PERSONS

In September, industrial employment increased 0.4% compared to the previous month (seasonally adjusted series), keeping a sequence of three months with positive results. It is worth mentioning that, in this period, there was increase of 1.0%, after decrease by 7.3% from October last year to June this year. With these results, the quarterly moving average index, which had had less significant decrease since last February, faced its second consecutive positive rate: 0.2% in August and 0.3% in September. In the third quarter of 2009, also in the series with seasonal adjustment, and compared to immediately previous quarter, industrial employment increased 0.3% and interrupted a sequence of three consecutive quarters of decrease, a period when it accumulated loss of 7.0%. 

Compared to similar periods in 2008, results remain negative: decrease of 6.5% versus the September result, the tenth consecutive negative rate, decrease of 5.6% of the index accumulated in January-September. The annualized rate, the indicator accumulated in the last twelve months, decreased 4.2%, and remained on the downward trend which started in August last year (3.0%).

Versus the figure in September 2008 (-6.5%), the number of workers was reduced in thirteen areas surveyed, mainly in São Paulo (-4.8%), Minas Gerais (-11.1%), North and Central and Central West Region (-9.9%) and Rio Grande do Sul (-8.6%). In the first area mentioned, the main negative contributions came from means of transportation (-16.2%), metal products (-13.4%) and machinery and equipment (10.5%); in the second, the most relevant contributions came from apparel (-26.5%) and food products and beverages (-6.9%); in the third area, major decreases occurred in wood (-31.3%) and electronic machines and communication equipment (-21.8%); finally, in Rio Grande do Sul, footwear and leather articles (-15.3%), machinery and equipment (-11.6%) and means of transportation (-16.0%) accounted for the main negative contributions.

Also in this kind of comparison, in the country, industrial employment decreased in sixteen of the eighteen subsectors surveyed, such as means of transportation (-13.8%), machinery and equipment (-11.5%), metal products (-11.2%), wood (-18.6%) and apparel (-6.9%), accounting for the main negative contributions to the overall rate, whereas paper and printing (7.3%) and tobacco (3.1%) were the only positive results.

In the quarterly analysis, industrial employment decreased 6.7% in the period July-September this year, thus accelerating decrease of results compared to the first semester of the year (5.6%); there were decreases by 4.0% in the first quarter and by 6.2% in the following quarter; all comparison refer to the same period in the previous year. Contributions to this result came from the decreases observed in twelve areas and twelve subsectors, mainly Espírito Santo, which changed from -6.7% in the first semester to -11.6% in the third one, and Minas Gerais (from -3.5% to -9.0%), among the areas; and  metallurgy (from -4.2% to -11.0%), petroleum refining and alcohol (from 1.7% to -4.9%), means of transportation (from -7.6% to -13.3%), machinery and equipment (from -6.9% to -12.1%) and mining and quarrying industry (from -0.8% to -4.8%), among the subsectors.

Considering the indicator accumulated in the year, the level of employment in industry was 5.6% lower than in the same period last year, a result supported by the decreases observed in fourteen areas and seventeen subsectors. Among the areas, São Paulo (-4.2%), Minas Gerais (-8.4%), North and Central West Region (-9.0%) and Rio Grande do Sul (-7.5%) were the main negative highlights. Among the subsectors investigated, the most negative rates remained as those of means of transportation (-9.5%), machinery and equipment (-8.7%), apparel (-8.6%), metal products (-9.4%) and footwear and leather articles (-10.5%). On the other hand, paper and printing (7.0%) was the only positive contribution to the overall result.

 

NUMBER OF HOURS PAID

In September, the number of hours paid to industry workers increased 1.1% in relation to August, in the seasonally adjusted series, having accumulated gain of 1.9% from June to September. With these results, the quarterly moving average index had its second consecutive positive result: 0,.3% in August and 0.4% in September. In the third quarter of 2009, the number of hours paid increased 0.5%  compared to the immediately previous quarter (seasonally adjusted series), interrupting three consecutive quarters of negative rates, a period when there was decrease of 7.5%.

Compared to the same period in the previous year, the number of hours paid decreased 6.4%, the eleventh consecutive negative result. By the end of the third quarter of 2009, compared to the same period in the previous year, the number of hours paid also faced decrease (-7.0%), a result similar to the one in the second quarter (-6.7%). The index accumulated in the nine months of the year remained pointing to decrease (-6.3%). The annualized rate, the indicator accumulated in the last twelve months, remained on a downward trend, having changed from -4.0% in August to -4.8% in September.

Considering the monthly indicator, the total number of hours paid reflected the negative performance of fourteen areas and sixteen of the eighteen subsectors surveyed. In the analysis by subsector, the main negative contributions came from means of transportation (-13.9%) and machinery and equipment (-13.7%). On the other hand, paper and printing (6.2%) and tobacco (10.4%) were the only subsectors accounting for positive contributions.

In this same comparison, the areas which most contributed to the overall results were: São Paulo (-4.2%), Minas Gerais (-10.6%), North and Central West Region (-11.0%) and Rio Grande do Sul (-9.3%). In São Paulo, twelve activities surveyed reduced the number of hours paid, being the highlights: means of transportation (-16.9%) and machinery and equipment (-12.7%). In Minas Gerais, the most relevant negative impacts were those of apparel (-25.2%), food products and beverages (-6.7%) and metallurgy (-17.2%). In the North and Central West Region, the most significant negative contributions came from wood (-35.8%) and machinery and equipment and electronic material and communication equipment (-22.7%), whereas inn Rio Grande do Sul, footwear and leather articles (-16.2%), machinery and equipment (-16.3%) and means of transportation (-19.2%) accounted for the main negative contributions.

In the analysis by quarters, the total number of hours paid decreased 7.0% in the third quarter of the year, the fourth consecutive negative result in this type of comparison, highlighting the decreases observed in the first (-5.1%) and second (-6.7%) quarters of the year; all comparisons versus the same period in the previous year.

In the indicator accumulated in the nine months of the year, compared to that in the same period of the previous year, the number of hours paid faced decrease of 6.3%, mainly due to decreases in fourteen areas and in fifteen subsectors surveyed. By area, the major negative contributions came from São Paulo (-4.8%), Minas Gerais (-8,.2%), North and Central West Region (-10.3%) and Rio Grande do Sul (-9.2%).In the analysis by subsector, the main decreases came from means of transportation  (-11.5%), machinery and equipment (-11.2%), apparel (-8.6%), metal products (-9.5%) and rubber and plastic (-10.9%). On the other hand, paper and printing (6.0%) was the highlight as the main positive contribution.

In summary, in the seasonally adjusted series, industrial employment and the number of hours paid had positive rates in the comparison month/previous month, being affected by the growing dynamism of productive activity throughout 2009. Results relative to the third quarter of the year, compared to those in the immediately previous quarter, confirmed such recovery, by increasing 0.3% and 0.5% respectively, when both interrupted three consecutive quarters of negative indexes. However, comparisons with similar periods in the previous year show that results remain negative compared to those in September last year, in the same quarter in 2008 and accumulated in the year.

  

REAL PAYROLL

In September, the real seasonally-adjusted real payroll of industry workers increased 1.7% in relation to the immediately previous month, reversing the negative result of August (-0.5%). With this result, the quarterly moving average indicator increased 0.4% between August and September, after having 0.7% in the previous month. In the analysis by quarter (seasonally adjusted series), real payroll decreased 0.3% compared to the second quarter in 2009, the fourth consecutive quarter with negative rates, a period with accumulated decrease of 5.2%.

Compared to similar periods in the previous year, results remained negative: -4.9% in the monthly indicator, -5.0% in the third quarter of the year and -2.5% accumulated in the year. The annualized rate, the indicator accumulated in the last twelve months, has remained on a downward trend since September 2008 (6.7%), after changing from 0.3% in August to -0.7% in September 2008 (6.7%).

In September, real payroll decreased 4.9% in relation to the same month in the previous year, with negative rates in eleven of the fourteen subsectors surveyed. The main negative contribution came from São Paulo (-5.0%), due to decrease of real payroll in terms of means of transportation (-9.6%), metal products (-21.4%) and machinery and equipment (-7.4%). It is also worth mentioning decreases in Minas Gerais (-9.5%), due to metallurgy (-29.2%), apparel (-21.3%) and means of transportation (-7.7%); and Rio Grande do Sul (-10.5%), due to the items footwear and leather articles (-19.3%), machinery and equipment (-16.5%) and means of transportation (-21.2%). On the other hand, the main positive contribution was that of Ceará (4.3%), due to the increase of real payroll considering footwear and leather articles (7.7%) and food products and beverages (9.0%).

By subsector, also considering the monthly indicator, real payroll was reduced in eleven of the eighteen industrial subsectors surveyed. Most contributions came from means of transportation (-9.0%), metallurgy (-24.6%) and metal products (-16.1%). On the other hand, the most relevant positive impacts were those of paper and printing (17.1%), food products and beverages (1.5%) and mining and quarrying industry (4.6%).

In the analysis by quarter, real payroll, by changing from -1.8% in the second quarter of the year to -5.0% in the following quarter, had the third negative rate in this type of comparison; it has remained on a downward trend since the third quarter of 2008 (6.9%). Deceleration of real payroll between the second and third quarters was observed in thirteen activities and thirteen areas. The highlights, in this case, were the losses in mining and quarrying industry, which changed from 29.% to -7.1%, petroleum refining and alcohol production (from 18.1% to -8.8%), metal products (from -3.9% to -11.0%) and metallurgy (from -13.0% to -18.5%). Among the areas, the biggest decreases occurred in Rio de Janeiro (from 10.6% to 4.4%) and Espírito Santo (from 7.2% to -7.2%).

The indicator accumulated in the year decreased by 2.5%, with negative rates in nine areas. Among these, the main contributions were those of São Paulo (-2.5%), Rio Grande do Sul (-7.4%) and Minas Gerais (-5.0%). In these areas, the highlights were, respectively, means of transportation (-5.8%) and electric machines, appliances and material and electronic machines and communication equipment (-10.1%); means of transportation (-16.8%) and footwear and leather articles (-10.6%); and metallurgy (-13.8%) and means of transportation (-8.3%).

In terms of subsector, there was reduction of real payroll in twelve activities; the main negative contributions came from means of transportation (-6.0%), machinery and equipment (-5.8%) and metallurgy (-11.0%). On the other hand, major increases in real payroll came from paper and printing (13.2%) and mining and quarrying industry (11.9%).