With the 0.2% increase in the national industrial output, six of the 14 places surveyed registered positive rates from September to October 2017, in the seasonally adjusted series. The most significant advance was in Amazonas (3.9%), which eliminated the 0.5% decrease observed last September. Santa Catarina (1.6%), Ceará (1.2%), Rio de Janeiro (0.6%), Espírito Santo (0.5%) and Goiás (0.1%) close the set of positive results in October 2017. On the other hand, Bahia (-7.0%) reported the biggest negative result in October, intensifying the 1.7% decline of the previous month. Pernambuco (-2.1%), Minas Gerais (-1.2%), São Paulo (-1.2%), Pará (-1.0%), the Northeast Region (-0.6%), Rio Grande of the Sul (-0.6%) and Paraná (-0.1%) registered the other drops. The full publication of the research can be accessed here.

Also in the seasonally adjusted series, the evolution of the quarterly moving average index to the total industry showed a slight negative change (-0.1%) in the quarter ended in October 2017 compared to the previous month, interrupting the predominantly positive behavior since May 2017. In regional terms, also in the adjusted series, there were drops in seven places, especially Bahia (-2.0%), Minas Gerais (-1.0%), Rio Grande do Sul (-0.9%) and Pernambuco (-0.8%). On the other hand, the highest increases were in Rio de Janeiro (4.7%), Amazonas (2.1%) and Espírito Santo (1.2%).

In comparison with the same month of the previous year, the industry grew 5.3% in October 2017, with ten of the 15 places surveyed on the rise. In that month, Mato Grosso (29.1%) and Pará (17.1%) registered the sharpest expansion, driven mainly by the advances observed in food products (cakes, bagasse, bran and other residues from soybean oil extraction, crude soybean oil, fresh or cooled beef, fresh or cooled offal and animal feed) and in mining and quarying industries (raw or processed iron ores).

Amazonas (12.2%), Rio de Janeiro (10.9%), Goiás (10.7%), Santa Catarina (9.1%), Ceará (7.2%) and São Paulo) also recorded positive rates above the national average (5.3%). Paraná (4.2%) and Minas Gerais (3.1%) complete the set of locations with production growth in that month.

On the other hand, in Pernambuco (-6.1%), there was the sharpest decline, driven to a great extent by the negative behavior of food products (crystallized sugar, VHP sugar and cane refined sugar). The other drops were in Bahia (-3.7%), Espírito Santo (-3.0%), Rio Grande do Sul (-2.2%) and Northeast Region (-1.1%).

In the accumulated period of January-October 2017, compared to the same period of the previous year, the observed expansion in the national output (1.9%) reached 12 of the 15 places surveyed, with a highlight to the two-digit increase reported by Pará (10.5%). Paraná (5.0%), Mato Grosso (4.6%), Santa Catarina (4.1%), Rio de Janeiro (3.7%), Amazonas (3.5%), Goiás), São Paulo (2.5%), Espírito Santo (2.5%) and Ceará (2.3%) also registered growth above the industry average, while Minas Gerais (1.7%) and Rio Grande do Sul (0.6%) completed the set of locations with positive results at the end of the ten months of the year.

In these places, the greatest dynamism was particularly influenced by factors related to the expansion in the production of capital goods (especially those related to transportation, construction and agriculture); of intermediate goods (iron ores, petroleum, pulp, iron and steel and soybean extraction derivatives); of durable consumer goods (cars and "brown goods"); and semi-durable and non-durable consumer goods (footwear, textiles and apparel).

On the other hand, Bahia (-3.0%) had the lowest cumulative result in the year, mainly due to the negative behavior in basic metals (copper and copper alloy bars, profiles and rebar) and coke, petroleum products and biofuels (diesel oil, naphthas and fuel oils). The Northeast Region (-0.9%) and Pernambuco (-0.9%) also showed negative rates in this indicator.

The cumulative index of the last 12 months (1.5%) in October 2017 was the second consecutive positive result and the highest one since March 2014 (2.1%), keeping the upward trend started in June 2016 (- 9.7%). In regional terms, 12 of the 15 sites surveyed showed positive rates in October 2017, but 13 had greater dynamism compared to the indexes of last September, following the movement observed in the national industry (from 0.4% to 1.5%).

The main pace gains between September and October 2017 were registered by Mato Grosso (from -0.2% to 3.6%), Amazonas (from 1.6% to 3.5%), Goiás (from -0, 3% to 1.4%), Ceará (from 0.5% to 1.9%), Espírito Santo (from 0.4% to 1.8%), Minas Gerais (from 0.3% to 1.6% %) and Pará (from 9.2% to 10.5%), while Pernambuco (from -0.1% to -0.7%) recorded the only reduction between the two periods.