Nossos serviços estão apresentando instabilidade no momento. Algumas informações podem não estar disponíveis.

In June, IPCA-15 stays at 0.99% and IPCA-E closes Q2 at 2.68%

June 19, 2015 09h42 AM | Last Updated: January 31, 2018 04h49 PM

 

PERIOD
RATE
June 2015
0.99%
May 2015
0.60%
June 2014
0.47%
Cumulative in the year
6.28%
Cumulative in 12 months
8.80%

The Extended National Consumer Price Index-15 (IPCA-15) changed 0.99% in June and stood 0.39 percentage points above May’s rate (0.60%). This was the highest result for the months of June since 1996, when it hit 1.11%. The IPCA-E (cumulative IPCA-15 over the quarter) - stood at 2.68%, above the result of 1.84% in the same quarter of 2014. In the cumulative index for the first semester of 2015, the 6.28% rate stood well above the rate in the same period of 2014 (3.99%) and it is the highest result for the period since 2003 (7.75%). In the last 12 months, the index went to 8.80%, above the result recorded over the 12 previous months (8.24%) and the highest result for 12 months since December 2003 (9.86%). In June 2014, IPCA-15 was at 0.47%. The complete IPCA-15 data can be accessed at www.ibge.gov.br/home/estatistica/indicadores/precos/ipca15/defaultipca15.shtm.

In June, as shown in the next table, the group of Personal Expenses, with 1.79%, had the highest result. Whereas six of the nine groups of products and services surveyed recorded acceleration in the growth rate from May to June, the group Communication, with 0.08%, was the one with the lowest increase.

Group

Monthly Change (%)

Impact (p.p.)

Cumulative Change (%)

April

May

June

June

Quarter

12 Months

Overall Index

1.07

0.60

0.99

0.99

2.68

8.80

Food and Beverages

1.04

1.05

1.21

0.30

3.34

9.30

Housing

3.66

0.85

1.03

0.16

5.62

17.66

Household Articles

0.68

0.41

0.69

0.03

1.79

4.37

Wearing Apparel

0.94

0.80

0.68

0.04

2.44

3.51

Transportation

0.33

-0.45

0.85

0.16

0.73

7.41

Health and Personal Care

0.44

1.79

0.87

0.10

3.13

7.62

Personal Expenses

0.57

0.18

1.79

0.19

2.55

8.74

Education

0.14

0.09

0.18

0.01

0.41

8.49

Communication

-0.30

0.22

0.08

0.00

0.00

-1.22

In Personal Expenses, the high of 1.79% was influenced by gambling, whose change of 37.77% resulted in increases in the value of gambles in force since May 18. This item led the major impacts in the groups, accounting for 0.14 percentage points (p.p.) of the index this month. In addition, in the group, other items exerted influence on the result, especially domestic worker, with a high of 0.65%.

In food products, responsible for 1/3 of the index, with a contribution of 0.30 p.p., the high was of 1.21%. The highlights were the increases in the prices of onions (40.29%), tomatoes (13.00%), carrots (5.59%), potatoes (4.42%), meat (1.63%), long-life milk (1.24%), snacks (1.07%), French bread (0.98%) and others. Considering the areas surveyed, food prices increased more in the Metropolitan Area of Recife, reaching 1.84%. The lowest change was recorded in Porto Alegre (0.43%).

In Housing (1.03%), water and sewage fees (3.76%) stood out, according to the increases seen in the following areas:

Areas Change (%) Increase (%) In force on

Belo Horizonte

13.93

15.03

May 13

São Paulo

4.38

15.64

June 04

Rio de Janeiro

3.37

4.05

May 22

Curitiba

2.20

5.64

June 01

Salvador

2.14

9.98

June 06

Besides water fees, electricity (1.12%), cleaning articles (1.05%) and condominum fees (0.93%) were also up in the month. As to electricity, the high was due to the increases occurred in the following areas:

Areas Change (%) Increase (%) In force on

Recife

5.26

11.13

April 29

Salvador

3.69

10.34

April 22

Fortaleza

3.03

8.58

April 22

Porto Alegre

1.21

4.36

April 19

The articles of personal hygiene (1.08%) and medicine (0.76%) were the highlight in Health and Personal Care (0.87%), whereas in the group of Transportation (0.85%) airfares stood out with a high of 29.54%. Still in Transportation, the prices of gasoline (0.65%) and of urban bus fares were up (0.65%), the latter with an increase of 12.50% in force in the Metropolitan Area of Belém (11.67%) since May 16.

Household appliances (1.20%) and TV and Sound articles (0.85%) pushed Household Articles (0.69%) up, with no highlights in the other groups.

As to the indexes by area, the highest change was in Recife (1.41%), due to the high in gasoline, whose price per liter became 9.52% more expensive. Electricity (5.26%), which reflected the increase of 11.13% in force since April 29, as well as the increase of 1.84% in the prices of food products, influenced Recife's result. The lowest index was recorded in Goiânia (0.54%), where the price of gasoline per liter became 2.64% cheaper and of ethanol, 7.57% cheaper. The following table shows the results by area surveyed:

 

Area

Weight by Area(%)

Monthly Change (%)

Cumulative Change (%)

April

May

June

Quarter

12 Months

Recife

5.05

0.63

1.04

1.41

3.11

8.40

Belém

4.65

0.74

0.65

1.33

2.74

8.73

Fortaleza

3.49

0.81

1.23

1.15

3.22

8.49

Brasília

3.46

1.48

0.14

1.15

2.79

7.83

Curitiba

7.79

1.79

0.71

1.13

3.67

9.98

Salvador

7.35

0.67

0.51

1.06

2.26

7.64

Porto Alegre

8.40

1.24

0.73

0.98

2.98

9.45

São Paulo

31.68

0.95

0.58

0.94

2.49

8.89

Rio de Janeiro

12.46

1.28

0.39

0.89

2.58

9.65

Belo Horizonte

11.23

1.05

0.60

0.86

2.53

7.46

Goiania

4.44

1.12

0.44

0.54

2.11

9.27

Brazil

100.00

1.07

0.60

0.99

2.68

8.80

In order to estimate IPCA-15, the prices collected from May 15 to June 11 of 2015 (reference) were compared with the ones in force from April 14 to May 14 of 2015 (base). The indicator refers to families with monthly income of 1 to 40 minimum wages and it encompasses the Metropolitan Areas of Rio de Janeiro, Porto Alegre, Belo Horizonte, Recife, São Paulo, Belém, Fortaleza, Salvador, Curitiba, and also Brasília and Goiânia. The methodology is the same as the one used for IPCA; the difference lies in the period of price collection and in the geographic coverage.