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Regional Accounts: Five states concentrate 65.2% of the GDP in 2011

November 22, 2013 10h00 AM | Last Updated: March 12, 2018 03h04 PM

Comprising São Paulo (32.6%), Rio de Janeiro (11.2%), Minas Gerais (9.3%), Rio Grande do Sul (6.4%) and Paraná (5.8%), this group concentrated 65.2% of the GDP in 2011, 2.8 p.p. less than in 2002 (68.0%). The ten states with the smallest participation added up to 5.3%, whereas the other 12 states changed from 27.1% to 29.5% in this period, registering the highest growth among the three groups.

In the 2010-2011 comparison, the Southeast Region maintained the participation of 55.4% in the Brazilian GDP, though its four states had their participation redistributed. São Paulo, which remained the first in the ranking, lost approximately 0.5 percentage points (p.p.) by changing from 33.1% to 32.6% in this period and recorded its smallest participation in the time series started in 2002. As a result, Rio de Janeiro gained 0.4 p.p. (from 10.8% to 11.2%) and Espírito Santo, 0.2 p.p. (from 2.2% to 2.4%). Minas Gerais remained with 9.3%. The North (from 5.3% to 5.4%) and Central-West Regions (from 9.3% to 9.6%) increased, while the South (from 16.5% to 16.2%) and the Northeast Regions (from 13.5% to 13.4%) decreased their participations in the Brazilian GDP in 2011. Considering the time series started in 2002, The Central-West advanced 0.8 p.p. in this period, the North, 0.7 p.p. and the Northeast, 0.4 p.p.

 The detailed information is presented in the survey Regional Accounts of Brazil 2011. The preliminary results now released will be updated according to the revision of the System of National Accounts. As to the 2011 results, the regional accounts were adjusted to the national accounts by aggregating the information from the Brazilian quarterly accounts, which release the quarterly GDP for 12 activities only, against 56 in the definitive national accounts.  Up to 2015, IBGE will release the time series of the Brazilian System National Accounts with reference in 2010 - 2000 is the reference year today -, including the detailed results for 2010, 2011 and 2012, as well as the revision of the results of the period 1995-2009.

All the results of the Regional Accounts can be accessed on link https://www.ibge.gov.br/english/estatistica/economia/contasregionais/2011/default.shtm.

 

Manufacturing industry makes SP lose participation in GDP

The Southeast Region accounted for 55.4% of the national GDP in 2011 and maintained the same level as in 2010, though its states had their participation redistributed. São Paulo changed from 33.1% in 2010 to 32.6% in 2011. In 2011, the Brazilian manufacturing industry hit its lowest participation in the time series (14.6% against 16.2% in 2010), which explained this drop. As a result, the manufacturing industry changed its representativeness in the state from 42.0% to 41.8%. Trade also lost participation (-0.4 p.p.), as well as generation and distribution of electricity and gas, water, sewage and urban sanitation (-3.6 p.p.). Rio de Janeiro accounted for 11.2% of the GDP in 2011, posting a gain of 0.4 p.p. over 2010. Influenced by the increase of the average price of oil, the participation of mining and quarrying industries rose from 35.3% to 39.8% in the state, thus increasing its weight in the economy from 9.8% to 14.5%.

The increase in the participation of Espírito Santo from 2.2% in 2010 to 2.4% in 2011 was due to the growth of the industrial sector by 0.4 p.p. in the state, changing from 2.7% in 2010 to 3.1% in 2011. Mining and quarrying industries were leveraged by the commercial production of oil from the pre-salt layer along the southern coast of the state. Manufacturing industry gained participation in the activities of pulp and paper production, as well as of manufacturing of steel and steel products. Minas Gerais maintained the same participation as in 2010 (9.3%), once the mining and quarrying industries, which rely on iron ore as their main product, lost relative participation in Brazil, due to the increased representativeness of the oil producing states.

South Region loses 0.3 percentage points of participation in GDP

Accounting for a participation of 16.2% in the GDP, the South Region had its representativeness reduced by 0.3 p.p. between 2010 and 2011. Rio Grande do Sul changed from 6.7% in 2010 to 6.4% in 2011. Santa Catarina gained 0.1 p.p. and stood at 4.1%, while Paraná maintained the same level as in 2010 (5.8%). The performance of Rio Grande do Sul was influenced by the decreased participation of agriculture, manufacturing industry and trade in Brazil. The loss of the participation of agriculture from 11.1% in 2010 to 10.9% in 2011 was due to the drop of approximately 30% in the price of paddy rice, pressed by the record harvest in 2011 together with carryover stocks. Manufacturing industry also lost participation from 8.9% in 2010 to 8.4% in 2011, due to the reduced activity of oil refining and coke, as a result of the increased prices of its main input, oil.

Accounting for 5.4% of the GDP in 2011, the North Region advanced its participation by 0.1 p.p. between 2010 and 2011. The increased participation of the region was due to the advance of Rondônia. This state rose from 0.6% in 2010 to 0.7% in 2011, influenced by the construction of the hydroelectric power plants of Jirau and Santo Antônio in Madeira River. Tocantins declined approximately 0.1 p.p. and reached the participation of 0.4% in 2011. The participation of the activity of civil construction dropped from 1.3% in 2010 to 0.7% in 2011, once major works entered the completion phase since 2007. The other states maintained the participation reached in 2010.

The Northeast Region reduced its participation by 0.1 p.p. in 2011 and represented 13.4% of the GDP. Considering all the states of the Northeast, only Maranhão, Paraíba and Bahia changed their participation in the Brazilian GDP. Maranhão (1.3%) and Paraíba (0.9%) advanced approximately 0.1 p.p. each. Bahia lost 0.2 p.p. between 2010 and 2011, changing from 4.1% to 3.9%. Manufacturing industry in Bahia lost its participation (from 4.1% in 2010 to 2.8% in 2011), due to the reduced oil refining and coke. Agriculture changed from 5.7% in 2010 to 5.4% in 2011, as a result of the reduced production of corn (drought) and of the participation of poultry farming.

The Central-West Region advanced 0.3 p.p. in 2011, reaching the same level as in 2009 (9.6%). The states that mostly contributed to this participation gain were Goiás and Mato Grosso. Goiás changed from 2.6% to 2.7% of the national GDP in 2011, due to the performance of the manufacturing industry. This industry changed from 2.3% in 2010 to 2.6% in 2011, as a result of the expansion of food products and beverages, paints and varnishes, cement and cars, pickups and SUVs, as well as of transportation and trade services. By holding 1.7% of the GDP in 2011, Mato Grosso expanded its participation by 0.1 p.p. over 2010. This gain was related to the expansion of agriculture, which changed from 6.9% in 2010 to 8.0% in 2011. It was influenced by the increase in the price of corn and by the increased production of soybeans, whose culture grew 10.7%, whereas its price rose 36.9%. Manufacturing industry and trade also contributed to the increased participation in the GDP. The Federal District (4.0%) and Mato Grosso do Sul (1.2%) maintained the same participation as in 2010.

Group of five states with largest participation in GDP loses 2.8 p.p. since 2002

Comprising São Paulo (32.6%), Rio de Janeiro (11.2%), Minas Gerais (9.3%), Rio Grande do Sul (6.4%) and Paraná (5.8%), this group concentrated 65.2% of the GDP in 2011, 2.8 p.p. less than in 2002 (68.0%). The ten states with the smallest participation added up to 5.3% in 2011: Rio Grande do Norte (0.9%); Paraíba (0.9%); Alagoas (0.7%); Rondônia (0.7%); Sergipe (0.6%); Piauí (0.6%); Tocantins (0.4%); and Amapá, Acre and Roraima (approximately 0.2% each). This group raised its participation by approximately 0.4 p.p. in relation to 2002, changing from 5.0% to 5.3%.

Comprising the other 12 states with participation between 4.1% and 1.2% in 2011, the intermediate group registered the highest growth in the 2002-2011 time series. This group changed from 27.1% in 2002 to 29.5%, gaining 2.4% of participation in the period. This group included Santa Catarina, the Federal District, Bahia, Goiás, Pernambuco, Espírito Santo, Pará, Ceará, Mato Grosso, Amazonas, Maranhão and Mato Grosso do Sul. Espírito Santo (0.5 p.p.) and Pará (0.4 p.p.) were those which mostly advanced.

Per capita GDP of DF is threefold national's and twofold SP´s

In 2011, eight states (the Federal District, São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro, Espírito Santo, Santa Catarina, Rio Grande do Sul, Mato Grosso and Paraná) recorded a per capita GDP above the Brazilian average (R$ 21,535.65). By posting the highest per capita GDP in Brazil, R$ 63,020.02, the Federal District represented almost three times the national average and almost two times that registered in São Paulo (R$ 32,449.06), the second highest in Brazil. Among the states with the lowest per capita GDP, Maranhão (R$ 7,852.71) and Piauí (R$ 7,835.75) accounted for approximately 36% of that of Brazil.