Between November and December 2009, regional indexes of industrial production, seasonally adjusted, recorded positive rates in eight of the 14 surveyed places. Among the areas whose production increased in December, the highlights were Paraná (5.9%) and Espírito Santo (4.1%), with the highest increases. The other places with positive rates were: Rio de Janeiro (2.2%), Rio Grande do Sul (2.1%), Ceará (1.8%), Santa Catarina (1.3%), São Paulo (0.6%) and Pará (0.5%). Six regions recorded negative rates, with Pernambuco (-3.5%), Goiás (-3.1%), Amazonas (-2.2%) and Bahia (-0.8%) presenting major reductions. The other negative variations were similar to the national average (-0.3%): the Northeast region (-0.3%) and Minas Gerais (-0.1%), which practically repeated the figure of the previous month.

 

Still in the seasonally adjusted series, comparing the fourth quarter of 2009 and the immediately previous quarter, 13 places presented growth, showing recovery from the effects of the world financial crisis at the end of 2008. Inversely, Goiás (-4.8%) was the only place to record fall in the last quarter of the year, after increases of 4.0%, in the second quarter, and of 7.0%, in the third.

 

In relation to December 2008, the national industrial sector increased by 18.9%, partially influenced by a low basis for comparison due to collective vacations and non-programmed production interruptions in several sectors during 2008. In this comparison, regional indexes were all positive, evidencing a recovery in progress, with highlights being Espírito Santo (37.2%) and Minas Gerais (28.9%), with record rates since 1991.

 

The signs of increase also became evident in the comparison between the last quarter of 2009 and the same period of 2008, when 13 of the 14 surveyed places expanded production and interrupted the sequence of negative rates observed in previous quarters. The highest increases, above national average (5.8%) in the period October-December 2009, came from Espírito Santo (18.6%), Paraná (9.7%), Bahia (8.1%), Rio Grande do Sul (7.6%) and Minas Gerais (6.7%). The only negative result in the fourth quarter of 2009 was observed in Pará (-4.8%).

 

Even with the disseminated recovery observed in regional results during 2009, all places, except Goiás (0.0%), which showed stability, indicated decreased industrial production for the closing of 2009 compared to the accumulated in 2008, following national performance (-7.4%). Espírito Santo (-14.6%), Minas Gerais (-13.1%), Amazonas (-8.9%), São Paulo (-8.4%) and Santa Catarina (-7.7%) recorded the sharpest decreases, influenced by the decreased dynamism of typically export products, particularly commodities (iron ore, and iron and steel products), and the strong adjustment in the production of durable consumer goods (automobiles and household appliances) and machinery and equipment.

 

 

AMAZONAS – In December 2009, the industrial sector in Amazonas decreased 2.2% in relation to the previous month, in the seasonally adjusted series, after an increase of 2.8% in November. The quarterly moving average index in December repeated the level of November, after seven consecutive months of expansion, accumulating a gain of 16.5% in this period. Still in the seasonally adjusted series, comparing quarter with immediately previous quarter, industry in Amazonas increased 3.1%. It was the third consecutive quarter of increase in this type of comparison.

 

The positive result of 5.7% in the monthly index was backed up especially by the increase in six of the 11 surveyed sectors, with highlights being the strong positive contribution of electronic material and communication equipment (39.9%) and machinery and equipment (69.3%). It is worth emphasizing the positive impact from food products and beverages (5.3%). On the other hand, the main negative impact came from transportation equipment (-38.0%).

 

In the analysis by quarter, we can observe that industry in Amazonas, which had been presenting negative results for four consecutive quarters, presented an increase of 4.3% in the fourth quarter of 2009, all comparisons being made with the same period of the previous year. Seven branches contributed to the increased rhythm between the third (-6.4%) and the four quarters of 2009 (4.3%), with highlights being electronic material and communication equipment, which changed from -16.1% to 2.8% between both periods; food products and beverages (from 12.4% to 23.4%); and machinery and equipment (from 28.3% to 57.3%).

The indicator accumulated in the year was -8.9%. The decrease was result of the negative performance of six of the 11 surveyed segments.

 

 

PARÁ – In December 2009, industry in Pará increased 0.5% in relation to the previous month, in the seasonally adjusted series, practically compensating the decrease of 0.6% observed in November. The quarterly moving average index, which increased 0.5% between November and December, shows a slight increase compared to the performance of the previous month (0.3%). Still in the seasonally adjusted series, in the comparison with the immediately previous quarter, the general index presented an increase of 0.5% in the period October-December, after an increase of 1.2% in the third quarter of the year.

 

In the comparison December 09/December 08, industry of Pará increased 1.1%. This is explained especially by the positive performance of mining and quarrying industry (9.0%), as manufacturing industry (-4.7%) continues presenting a negative rate in this kind of comparison. On the other hand, of the two activities that showed increase in production, the most relevant positive contribution came from food products and beverages (20.9%).

 

On a quarterly basis, industry in Pará reduced the rhythm of fall from the third (-9.0%) to the fourth quarter of the year (-4.8%), both comparisons against the same periods of the previous year. Between these two periods, five of the six surveyed activities became more dynamic, with the highlight being the mining and quarrying sector, which changed from -16.4% in the third quarter to -6.3% in the period October-December, whereas basic metallurgy (from 7.9% to -6.6%) presented the only decrease.

 

In the indicator for the closing of 2009, industrial production in Pará decreased 7.3%, with negative results in four of the six surveyed activities.

 

 

NORTHEAST – In December 2009, the index of industrial production of the Northeast, seasonally adjusted, showed a negative variation of 0.3% compared to the previous month, after an increase of 1.5% in the previous month. With the negative behavior of industrial production in the Northeast, the quarterly moving average index still shows a positive rate (0.3%), but reduces the growth rhythm against previous months. Still in the seasonally adjusted series, the comparison quarter/immediately previous quarter, increased production may also be observed, with the general index showing an expansion of 3.4% in the period October-December, after an increase of 3.7% in the third quarter of the year.

 

In relation to December 2008, industry in the Northeast increased 9.6%, backed up by the growth in seven of the 11 investigated branches, with the expansion of 51.2% in chemical products standing out. It is worth emphasizing that in this result there is the influence not only of the larger manufacture of chemical products, but also of the low base for comparison due to collective vacations and non-planned shutdowns in December 2008. There were also positive contributions from footwear and leather articles (29.4%), textiles (16.1%) and basic metallurgy (10.9%). Among the branches that reduced production, the main impact came from food products and beverages (-1.2%).

 

In the analysis by quarter, with the increase of 4.1% in the period October-December, industry in the Northeast interrupted four consecutive quarters of negative rates, showing evident gain of rhythm in relation to the results of the first (-9.4%), second (-10.0%) and third quarters (-5.2%), all comparisons against the same periods of the previous year. The gain in dynamism from the third to the fourth quarter reflects especially the positive behavior coming from 10 of the 11 investigated activities, an obvious highlight for chemical products, which changed from a decline of 5.7% to a rise of 21.4% between both quarters.

 

In the indicator for the closing of the year, industrial production in the Northeast closed 2009 with a decrease of 4.9% in relation to the same period of the previous year, showing a generalized decline profile that reaches nine of the 11 investigated activities.

 

 

CEARÁ – The industrial production of Ceará in December, seasonally adjusted, grew by 1.8% in the comparison to the immediately previous month, marking the sixth consecutive positive rate, accumulating a gain of 11.5% in this period. With these results, the quarterly moving average index rose by 2.6%, accumulating an increase of 8.3% in five consecutive months of growth. Still in the seasonally adjusted series, the comparison quarter and immediately previous quarter increased 6.9% in the period October-December, reversing the 0.3% decline observed in the third quarter of the year.

 

The monthly indicator of industrial production in Ceará grew 12.8%, with positive rates in seven of the 10 surveyed industrial sectors. The major positive impact came from footwear and leather articles (46.9%). Textiles (34.9%) and chemical products (17.3%) are worth citing. On the other hand, the main negative pressures came from petroleum refining and alcohol production (-30.0%) and basic metallurgy (-23.4%).

 

In the analysis by quarter, industry in Ceará grew 4.8% in the fourth quarter of 2009, reversing four consecutive decline quarters. From the third (-6.8%) to the fourth quarter (4.8%), seven of the 10 surveyed activities became more dynamic, with highlights being the sectors of footwear and leather articles, which changed from -3.6% to 34.9%; and textiles (from 5.7% to 25.0%).

 

In the indicator accumulated in the year, industrial production in Ceará declined 3.7%, with negative results in four of the 10 industrial sectors.

 

 

PERNAMBUCO – In December 2009, industrial production in Pernambuco, seasonally adjusted, decreased 3.5% in relation to the previous month, after an increase of 0.9% in November. With these results, the quarterly moving average index presented a decline of 1.1% after having decreased in the previous month (0.3%). Still in the seasonally adjusted series, the fourth quarter of the year was practically stable compared to the immediately previous quarter (0.1%), after an increase of 5.0% in the third quarter of the year.

 

In the monthly indicator, industry in Pernambuco grew 6.2%, partially backed up by the positive rates observed in eight of the 11 surveyed activities, with highlights being basic metallurgy (23.8%); chemical products (18.0%); and electric machines, appliances and material (35.5%). On the other hand, petroleum refining and alcohol production 

(-20.9%), and food products and beverages (-1.5%) exerted the main negative impacts.

 

In the analysis by quarter, after four consecutive quarters with negative rates, industry in Pernambuco grew 4.6% in the fourth quarter of 2009, all comparisons against the same periods of the previous year. The dynamism gain between the third (-0.8%) and the fourth quarter of 2009 was shared by 10 sectors, with highlights being chemical products, which changed from a fall of 6.7% to a growth of 12.3%; electric machines, appliances and material (from -18.3% to 13.9%) and metal products (-9.3% to 9.2%).

 

In the indicator accumulated for the closing of the year, industry in Pernambuco declined 3.0%, with negative rates in nine of the 11 sectors.

 

 

BAHIA – In December, industrial production in Bahia, seasonally adjusted, declined 0.8% in relation to the previous month, after increases during four consecutive months, accumulating a gain of 12.9% in this period. With these results, the quarterly moving average index rose 1.3%, marking the seventh consecutive positive rate, accumulating a gain of 13.8%. Still in the seasonally adjusted series, comparing quarter and immediately previous quarter, the index for October-December increased 5.9%, after having recorded a growth of 6.6% in the third quarter.

 

In the monthly indicator, industrial production in Bahia grew 22.4%, with positive rates in seven of the nine sectors, with the sector of chemical products exerting the main influence on the average of industry (82.9%). The positive contributions of automotive vehicles and petroleum refining and alcohol production (4.5%) come next. Inversely, the only two negative impacts were observed in cellulose and paper (-4.7%) and mining and quarrying industries (-4.0%).

 

In the analysis by quarter, industry in Bahia grew 8.1% in the fourth quarter, after having presented four quarters with negative results. From the third to the fourth quarter, eight of the nine sectors became more dynamic, with highlight being chemical products, which changed from

-7.0% to 26.1%; petroleum refining and alcohol production (from -9.1% to 2.9%) and automotive vehicles (from -22.2% to 61.6%).

 

In the indicator accumulated in the year, industry in Bahia declined 4.9%, with negative rates in six of the nine sectors.

 

 

MINAS GERAIS – Industrial production in Minas Gerais showed stability (-0.1%) from November to December 2009, considering seasonal influences. Thus, the quarterly moving average index keeps an upward trend, but with reduced rhythm, when it records the smallest gain in 10 months (0.8%). Still in the seasonally adjusted series, in comparison to the immediately previous quarter, the fourth quarter was observed to close the year with an increase of 4.1%, in the third consecutive expansion of this kind, period in which industry in Minas Gerais accumulated a gain of 18.7%.

 

Industrial production in Minas Gerais was 28.9% greater than that of December 2008, pressed by the increase in manufacturing industry (25.4%) and principally by the performance of mining and quarrying industry (55.7%). In these branches, the main positive impacts came from the increases observed, respectively, in automobiles, iron-niobium, superphosphates, and excavators. On the other hand, the most relevant positive pressure came from food products (7.3%).

 

In the analysis by quarter, the indexes showed that the industrial sector of Minas Gerais, during 2009, recorded decreasing negative rates until the third quarter of the year, even when compared to a base in which production was on an upward trend: -24.2% in the first quarter, -18.7% in the second and -4.2% in the third, all comparisons made against the same periods of the previous year. In the last quarter of 2009, industry interrupted the sequence of decline and increased 6.7% in relation to the same period of 2008. This gain of dynamism was shared by most (11) of the 13 industrial branches investigated, with the major contribution coming from the recovery of automotive vehicles production, which changed from a fall of -3.9% in the third quarter of the year to an increase of 44.8% in the fourth quarter, followed by basic metallurgy (from -24.3% to 0.1%) and by mining and quarrying industry (from -25.5% to 1.6%).

 

The indicator accumulated for the closing of the year declined 13.1%, supported by the reduced production in most (11) of the 13 investigated activities.

 

 

ESPÍRITO SANTO – In December 2009, industrial production in Espírito Santo increased 4.1% in comparison to November, in the seasonally adjusted series, after a decrease of 0.6% in the previous month. The quarterly moving average index grew 2.2% in December, and kept the upward trend initiated in March, accumulating a gain of 34.6% in the last 10 months. Still in the seasonally adjusted series, the sigs of recovery during 2009 also appear in the comparison quarter against immediately previous quarter, in which the index for the period October-December increased 8.7%, the third consecutive positive result in this kind of comparison.

 

In relation to December 2008, industrial production in Espírito Santo showed an expansion of 37.2%, the largest increase in the historical series, reflecting, greatly, a low basis for comparison due to the effects of the international crisis. Among the five investigated branches, four presented positive results, with highlights being basic metallurgy (76.2%) and mining and quarrying industry (55.6%). On the other hand, the only negative rate was observed in non-metallic minerals (-1.2%).

 

In the analysis by quarter, the 18.6% production increase in the last quarter of the year interrupts a sequence of four quarters with negative rates, all comparisons against the same periods of the previous year. The gain of rhythm from the third (-12.7%) to the fourth quarter was explained by the greater dynamism in all activities, with highlights being basic metallurgy (from -11.9% to 41.5%) and mining and quarrying industry (from -28.8% to 1.9%), both reversing four quarters of loss.

 

Production accumulated in the year closed 2009 with a fall of 14.6% against the same period of 2008, with three of the five activities showing negative rates.

 

RIO DE JANEIRO – Industrial production in Rio de Janeiro shows, in December, growth of 2.2% in the comparison to the immediately previous month, considering seasonal influences. This is the fourth consecutive increase in this kind of comparison, accumulating an expansion of 5.4% in this period. With this result, the quarterly moving average index grew 1.2% in December and remains showing an upward trend initiated in March, accumulating a gain of 13.1% in the last 10 months. Still in the seasonally adjusted series, a positive result is observed in the comparison quarter against immediately previous quarter, in which the index for October-December increased 3.1%, after increases of 4.4% in the second quarter and 3.9% in the third.

 

 

In relation to December 2008, industrial production in Rio de Janeiro records an increase of 14.5%, with seven of the 13 surveyed sectors exhibiting positive variations. Basic metallurgy (66.1%) and automotive vehicles (92.3%) were the sectors of major positive impact on the formation of the overall rate. It is also worth emphasizing the positive results from pharmaceutical products (47.3%); beverages (18.6%); mining and quarrying industry (7.0%); and perfumery, soaps and cleaning products (86.5%). Among the six activities that showed decreased production, editing and printing (-13.0%) was the one which most influenced the overall result.

 

In the last quarter of 2009, industrial activity in Rio de Janeiro presented a 4.5% expansion in relation to the same period of 2008. It was the first positive quarterly result in the year. Nine sectors seemed more dynamic from the third (-3.2%) to the fourth quarter of 2009. Among them the highlights are basic metallurgy, which changed from -6.1% to 18.2%; and automotive vehicles (from -21.3% to 7.9%).

 

The index accumulated in the year 2009 presents a fall of 3.8% for industry in general, pressed especially by the 7.3% fall in manufacturing industry, once the mining and quarrying sector grew 10.5%, backed up principally by the increased petroleum extraction.

 

 

SÃO PAULO – In December, the industrial production of São Paulo increased 0.6% in relation to the previous month, in the seasonally adjusted series. It was the sixth consecutive positive result, with accumulated gain of 10.2%. The quarterly moving average index grew 1.5% in December and kept the upward trend initiated in March, accumulating a gain of 15.6% in the last 10 months. Still in the seasonally adjusted series, signs of recovery during 2009 were also evident in the comparison of quarter against immediately previous quarter, in which the index for the period October-December rose by 5.0%, increasing the growth rhythm in the face of results from the second (3.7%) and third (4.4%) quarters.

 

 

In the comparison with December 2008, the industrial sector of São Paulo increased 20.8%, with a generalized growth profile that reaches 17 of the 20 surveyed activities. In this comparison, the most significant positive impact was observed in automotive vehicles (121.1%). Other relevant positive contributions were made by machinery and equipment (27.5%); rubber and plastic (55.8%); metal products (53.8%); other chemical products (16.9%); and electric machines, appliances and material (30.0%). In their turn, other equipment of transportation (-21.7%), electronic material and communication equipment (-24.8%), and food products (-1.9%) were the only sectors with negative results.

 

The analysis by quarter shows that industry in São Paulo, after four consecutive quarters of decline, presented an increase of 4.3% in the last quarter of 2009, all comparisons against the same periods of the previous year. In the gain of rhythm between the third (-8.8%) and the fourth quarters of 2009 (4.3%), 15 segments became more dynamic in production. The highlights were automotive vehicles, which changed from -14.7% to 24.7%; followed by machinery and equipment, from -28.2% to -4.8%; and rubber and plastic, from -9.7% to 15.9%.

 

In the indicator for the closing of 2009, the industrial sector of São Paulo declined 8.4% in relation to the same period of the previous year, greatly influenced by the fall in 14 of the 20 investigated activities.

 

PARANÁ – Industrial production in Paraná presented, in December 2009, an expansion of 5.9% in relation to November, in the seasonally adjusted series. This was the third consecutive increase in this kind of comparison, what led to an accumulated gain of 16.9%. The quarterly moving average index keeps the upward trend, initiated in July, when it showed an increase of 5.2% in December. Still in the seasonally adjusted series, the last quarter of 2009 also demonstrated a positive result, increasing 8.8% in relation to the immediately previous quarter, after a 4.3% rise in the third quarter.

 

In relation to December 2008, a total 28.2% increase was observed in industrial production. Eleven of the 14 surveyed branches recorded an increase. The main positive impact, by importance, came from editing and printing (99.7%) and automotive vehicles (110.1%). On the other hand, the most important negative contribution to the general average came from wood (-16.4%).

 

The analysis by quarter shows a significant improvement in the productive rhythm between the last two quarters of 2009, with the total of industry closing the fourth quarter with a 9.7% growth, against a 5.7% drop in the third quarter, both comparisons against the same periods of the previous year. At the level of sector, 10 of the 14 branches became more dynamic between both periods. The most relevant contribution came from automotive vehicles, which changed from -41.4% in the third quarter to 3.4% in the fourth.

 

The 2.1% drop observed in the indicator accumulated in the year reflects especially the negative performance in most (10) of the 14 investigated sectors.

 

 

SANTA CATARINA – In December 2009, industrial production in Santa Catarina began to grow again, in comparison to the previous month (1.3%), in the seasonally adjusted series, after being practically stable in November (-0.1%). With the result of this month, the quarterly moving average index grew 1.2% in December and kept the upward trend initiated in May. Still in the seasonally adjusted series, comparing quarter with immediately previous quarter, the index of October-December rose by 4.1%, increasing the rhythm in relation to results of the second (1.5%) and third (2.8%) quarters.

 

In the comparison December 09/December 08, the increase for total industry reached 12.4%, with expansion in nine of the 11 surveyed industrial branches. The performances of machinery and equipment (63.0%); and electric machines, appliances and material (76.5%) were decisive for the overall expansion of industry. On the other hand, the main negative contribution came from the sector of automotive vehicles (-60.4%).

 

On a quarterly basis, indexes (comparison to the same quarter of the previous year) confirmed the increased activity rhythm during the year. After the decreases of 14.0%, 11.7% and 8.5% in the first three quarters of 2009, the overall rate presented an expansion of 3.8% in the period October-December. The gain of rhythm between the last two quarters of 2009 reached 10 sectors, being more significant in machinery and equipment, which changed from 4.6% in the third quarter to 31.8% in the fourth.

 

The indicator accumulated for the year 2009 recorded a reduction of 7.8% and reflected the production decline in eight activities.

 

 

RIO GRANDE DO SUL – The index of industrial production in Rio Grande do Sul showed growth of 2.1% in December, in the seasonally adjusted series, the seventh consecutive increase in this kind of comparison, accumulating a gain of 12.4%. With these results, the quarterly moving average index, when it grew 1.8% in December, keeps the upward trend initiated in March. Still in the seasonally adjusted series, comparing quarter against immediately previous quarter, the index of the last quarter of the year increased 4.8%, after expansions of 4.7% and 4.3% in the second and third quarters.

 

In the comparison with the same month of the previous year, the increase of 25.2% reflects the positive behavior of most (11) of the 14 surveyed activities. Among them, the ones which made the biggest contribution to the formation of overall rate were, by order of importance, other chemical products (99.5%) and automotive vehicles (103.1%). It is worth emphasizing the increase in petroleum refining and alcohol production (26.8%). On the other hand, the only activities in decline were food products (-2.7%), tobacco (-9.1%) and editing and printing (-15.4%).

 

On a quarterly basis, there was a rhythm increase in the industrial activity of Rio Grande do Sul from the third (-7.6%) to the fourth quarter of last year (7.6%), both comparisons against the same periods of 2008. Ten among the 14 surveyed sectors contributed to this movement, with the highlight being automotive vehicles, which changed from -26.4% in the third quarter to 25.4% in the fourth.

 

In the result accumulated for 2009, the 7.2% drop in relation to 2008 showed decreased production in nine of the 14 investigated industrial branches.

 

 

GOIÁS – In December, the industrial production of Goiás, in the seasonally adjusted series, presented a negative variation of 3.1% in relation to November, after an increase of 11.6% in the immediately previous month. The quarterly moving average index, between November and December, showed a decrease (-0.9%). Still in the seasonally adjusted series, comparing quarter with immediately previous quarter, the index for the period October-December declined 4.8%, after having increased for two consecutive quarters: 4.0% in the second and 7.0% in the third.

 

Industrial activity in Goiás grew 6.2% in the monthly indicator, with four of the five surveyed sectors showing positive rates. The main influences upon the overall average came from chemical products (112.6%), basic metallurgy (9.4%), and mining and quarrying industry (7.5%). Inversely, food products and beverages (-10.3%) was the only sector that reduced production.

 

On a quarterly basis, industry in Goiás showed a reduction in the growth rhythm from the third quarter of 2009 (4.9%) to the fourth (3.5%), both comparisons against the same periods of the previous year. This movement was solely influenced by food products and beverages, the main sector for the industrial structure in the state, which changed from -2.8% in July-September to -7.6% in October-December. On the other hand, basic metallurgy was the branch that presented the greatest increase, when it changed from 7.6% to 19.4% in these two periods.

 

In the indicator accumulated in the year 2009, there is no growth, with four of the five segments presenting positive rates in this comparison.