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Industrial employment falls 0.7% in September

November 19, 2015 11h10 AM | Last Updated: January 17, 2018 01h41 PM

  

In September 2015, the total number of salaried employed persons in industry fell 0.7% over the previous month level, in the seasonally-adjusted series. It was the ninth consecutive negative result, registering a cumulative loss of 6.1%. Considering these figures, the quarterly moving average index had a negative change of 0.7% at the quarter ended in September 2015 over the previous month and kept the downward trend started in April 2013. In the quarter over quarter comparison, the number of persons employed in industry retracted 2.4% in the July-September 2015 period, the eleventh negative rate in a row in this type of comparison, recording a cumulative loss of 11.2%. In the comparison with the same month a year ago, the industrial employment posted a drop of 7.0% in September 2015, the 48th consecutive negative result in this type of comparison and the most intense of the time series started in December 2000. The number of salaried employed persons declined both at the end of the third quarter of 2015 (-6.8%) and in the cumulative index in the year of 2015 (-5.7%). Having declined 5.4% in September 2015, the cumulative index in the last 12 months kept the downward trend started in September 2013 (-1.0%).
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Short-term Indicators of Industry
Brazil - September 2015

Variables Change (%)

September 2015/ August 2015*

September 2015/ September 2014

Cumulative January-September

Cumulative in the Last 12 Months

Salaried Employed Personnel

-0.7

-7.0

-5.7

-5.4

Number of Hours Paid

-0.8

-7.8

-6.4

-6.1

Real Payroll

-1.6

-9.1

-6.8

-6.0

*Seasonally-adjusted series
Source: IBGE, Diretoria de Pesquisas, Coordenação de Indústria

 

The industrial employment dropped 7.0% in the monthly index of September 2015, registering the forty-eighth consecutive negative result in this type of comparison and the most intense since the beginning of the time series. In the comparisons with the same periods a year ago, the total number of salaried employed persons shrank both at the end of the third quarter of 2015 (-6.8%) and in the cumulative index of the nine months of the year (-5.7%). Having declined 5.4% in September 2015, the annualized rate - cumulative index in the last 12 months - maintained the downward trend started in September 2013 (-1.0%).

Compared with the same month a year ago, the industrial employment retracted 7.0% in September 2015. The contingent of workers was reduced in the 18 sectors surveyed, highlighted by the negative pressures coming from means of transportation (-12.4%), machinery and equipment (-10.6%), communication and electric-electronic machinery and apparatus (-14.7%), food and beverages (-2.9%), fabricated metal products (-10.6%), rubber and plastic (-8.4%), other products of the manufacturing industry (-10.3%), wearing apparel (-6.9%), textiles (-9.6%), non-metallic minerals (-6.9%), basic metals (-8.1%), footwear and leather (-5.9%), paper and press (-3.2%), wood (-6.5%) and mining and quarrying industries (-4.3%).

In a quarterly basis, the salaried employed persons in the industry fell 6.8% in the July-September period of 2015. It was the sixteenth consecutive negative rate in this kind of comparison, stepping up the pace of decline over the figures of the first (-4,6%) and second quarters of the year (-5.9%), all comparisons against the same periods a year ago. The loss of dynamism of the industrial employment between the second and third quarters of the year was followed by 13 out of the 18 sectors surveyed, highlighted by rubber and plastic (from -2.3% to -7.2%), textiles (from -3,1% to -7.5%), non-metallic minerals (from -2.7% to -5.9%), machinery and equipment (from -7.7% to -10.1%), communication and electric-electronic machinery and apparatus (from -13.2% to -14.7%) and means of transportation (from -11.0% to -12.2%). On the other hand, the activities of fabricated metal products (from -11.5% to -10.5%), petroleum refining and ethanol production (from -5.9% to -2.8%) and footwear and leather (from -7.8% to -6.5%) recorded the major gains of pace.

In terms of the cumulative index in the nine months of the year, the industrial employment dropped 5.7%, with negative rates in the 18 sectors surveyed. The most relevant negative contributions to the national average came from means of transportation (-10.6%), communication and electric-electronic machinery and apparatus (-13.3%), fabricated metal products (-10.5%), machinery and equipment (-7.6%), food and beverages (-2.5%), other products of the manufacturing industry (-9.3%), wearing apparel (-5.6%), footwear and leather (-7.2%), basic metals (-6.9%), rubber and plastic (-3.3%), textiles (-4.4%), paper and press (-3.5%), non-metallic minerals (-3.3%), mining and quarrying industries (-4.6%) and petroleum refining and ethanol production (-5.1%).

Number of hours paid cumulatively drops 6.4% in the year

Discounted the seasonal influences, the number of hours paid to workers of industry in September 2015 declined 0.8% over the previous month, the seventh negative rate in a row and a cumulative loss of 6.3% in this period. With these results, the quarterly moving average index recorded a reduction of 1.0% in the quarter ended in September 2015 in comparison with the level reached in the previous month and has remained on a downward trend started in May 2013. In the quarter over quarter comparison in the seasonally-adjusted series, the number of hours paid in industry declined 2.9% in the July-September 2015 period, posting the ninth consecutive negative rate in this type of comparison and the most intense one, registering a cumulative loss of 12.7% in this period.

In the comparison with the same month a year ago, the number of hours paid to industrial workers retreated 7.8% in September 2015, the twenty-eighth consecutive negative rate in this type of comparison and the most intense since the beginning of the time series. In the other comparisons against the same periods of the previous year, the number of hours paid declined both at the end of the third quarter of 2015 (-7.5%) and in the cumulative index of the nine months of the year (-6.4%). Having changed from -5.8% in August to -6.1% in September, the annualized rate - cumulative index in the last 12 months - maintained the downward trend started in September 2013 (-1.0%).

In September 2015, the number of hours paid declined 7.8% when compared with the same month last year, a widespread fall, since all the 18 sectors surveyed retreated. The main negative influences came from means of transportation (-15.1%), machinery and equipment (-10.8%), communication and electric-electronic machinery and apparatus (-14.0%), fabricated metal products (-11.3%), food and beverages (-2.9%), rubber and plastic (-10.4%), other products of the manufacturing industry (-11.6%), textiles (-10.8%), non-metallic minerals (-7.6%), wearing apparel (-6.5%), basic metals (-11.1%), footwear and leather (-7.7%), paper and press (-4.1%) and wood (-8.1%).

On a quarterly basis, the number of hours paid fell 7.5% in the July-September period of 2015. It was the seventeenth consecutive negative rate in this kind of comparison, stepping up the pace of decline over the results of the first (-5.2%) and second quarters of the year (-6.4%), all of them compared with the same periods in the previous year. The loss of dynamism in the number of hours paid between the second and third quarters of 2015 was followed by 13 out of the 18 sectors surveyed, highlighted by rubber and plastic (from -3.9% to -9.8%), textiles (from -1.9% to -7.9%), means of transportation (from -11.8% to -14.1%), non-metallic minerals (from -3.7% to -6.8%), other products of the manufacturing industry (from -9.3% to -11.4%) and machinery and equipment (from -8.7% to -9.9%). Conversely, the activities of footwear and leather (from -10.4% to -8.0%) and fabricated metal products (from -11.8% to -10.8%) registered the main reductions in the pace of decline between the two periods.

The number of hours paid declined 6.4% in the cumulative index in the nine months of 2015, a reduction followed by the 18 sectors surveyed. The most relevant negative impacts on the overall average of industry were reported in the sectors of means of transportation (-11.7%), communication and electric-electronic machinery and apparatus (-12.5%), fabricated metal products (-10.9%), machinery and equipment (-8.3%), food and beverages (-2.7%), other products of the manufacturing industry (-10.1%), footwear and leather (-9.1%), wearing apparel (-5.2%), basic metals (-9.1%), rubber and plastic (-5.2%), non-metallic minerals (-4.6%), paper and press (-4.4%), petroleum refining and ethanol production (-8.2%) and textiles (-3.9%).

Real payroll declines 9.1% in September 2015 over September 2014

In September 2015, the seasonally-adjusted real payroll of industry workers retreated 1.6% against the immediately previous month, the third consecutive negative rate and a cumulative reduction of 4.5% in this period. The September´s index showed the negative influence of the manufacturing industry (-1.6%), which reported negative rates for nine month in a row, as well as of the mining and quarrying sector (-2.9%), after having advanced 2.1% last month. With these results, the quarterly moving average index for the industry overall declined 1.5% in the quarter which ended in September 2015 in comparison with the level reached in the previous month and remained on the downward trend started last February. In the quarter over quarter comparison in the seasonally-adjusted series, the value of the real payroll decreased 3.5% in the July-September period of 2015, recording the sixth negative rate in a row in this kind of comparison and a cumulative loss of 11.5% in this period.

The value of the real payroll retreated 9.1% in the monthly index of September 2015, sixteenth consecutive negative rate in this type of comparison and the most intense since last May (-9.8%). In the other comparisons against the same periods of the previous year, the value of the real payroll declined both at the end of the third quarter of 2015 (-8.1%) and in the cumulative index of the nine months of the year (-6.8%). Having reduced 6.0% in September 2015, the annualized rate – cumulative index in the last last 12 months – registered the most intense negative result since the beginning of the time series and continued the downward trend started in January 2014 (1,6%).

Compared with the same month last year, the value of the real payroll dropped 9.1% in September 2015, reflecting negative figures in the 18 sectors surveyed, highlighted by means of transportation (-15.1%), machinery and equipment (-9.1%), communication and electric-electronic machinery and apparatus (-13.6%), fabricated metal products (-14.2%), basic metals (-13.9%), food and beverages (-3.2%), mining and quarrying industries (-9.1%), rubber and plastic (-9.8%), paper and press (-8.0%), other products of the manufacturing industry (-13.3%), non-metallic minerals (-8.2%), textiles (-11.9%), footwear and leather (-8.8%), chemicals (-2.7%), wearing apparel (-5.0%) and petroleum refining and ethanol production (-4.9%).

Having declined 8.1% in the third quarter of 2015, the value of the real payroll registered the fifth consecutive quarter of negative results and showed a loss of pace over the rates seen in the first (2,1%), second (0,5%), third (-2,9%) and fourth (-3,9%) quarters of 2014 and first (-4.9%) and second quarters of 2015 (-7.5%), all comparisons against the same periods in the previous year. The loss of dynamism between the second and third quarters of 2015 was also reported in 14 out of the 18 sectors, highlighted by paper and press (from -1.4% to -6.6%), rubber and plastic (from -5.1% to -9.6%), textiles (from -3.7% to -10.7%), other products of the manufacturing industry (from -7.4% to -13.2%), non-metallic minerals (from -2.4% to -6.4%), machinery and equipment (from -7.1% to -8.7%), chemicals (from -1.5% to -3.0%) and wearing apparel (from -0.8% to -4.2%). On the other hand, means of transportation (from -15.0% to -11.4%), food and beverages (from -5.2% to -4.2%) and mining and quarrying industries (from -8.5% to -7.2%) recorded the major reductions in the pace of decline between these two periods.

In the cumulative index in the nine months of 2015, the value of the real payroll retreated 6.8%, posting negative rates in the 18 activities surveyed, mainly pressed by the drops coming from means of transportation (-11.7%), communication and electric-electronic machinery and apparatus (-11.9%), machinery and equipment (-6.3%), food and beverages (-3.6%), fabricated metal products (-10.9%), basic metals (-10.0%), mining and quarrying industries (-6.8%), rubber and plastic (-6.2%), other products of the manufacturing industry (-9.3%), footwear and leather (-9.6%), paper and press (-3.5%), petroleum refining and ethanol production (-6.2%), non-metallic minerals (-3.7%), textiles (-5.4%) and chemicals (-1.7%).