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Retail sales change 0.7% in November

January 16, 2014 09h00 AM | Last Updated: April 25, 2018 12h43 PM

 

As for Construction Material, the changes were 5.1% over the same month in the previous year and 7.0% in terms of cumulative rates (in the year and in 12 months). This performance occurred not only due to the increasing offer of crediti to the housing sector, but also to the low index of default and to the rising reach of FGTS limits for housing purposes. The fall of IPI, expected to remain in effect until December, still stimulates the behavior of this segment.

REGIONAL RESULTS

In relation to November 2012, there was increase of volume of sales of twenty-six federation Units, mainly Rondônia (16.9%), Acre (13.7%); Maranhão (13.4%), Paraíba (12.06%0 and Paraná (10.0%).  The only fall was registered in Roraima (-1.3%).  As for participation in the composition of the  retail trade rate, the highlights were São Paulo 96.4%); Rio de Janeiro (8.8%); Paraná (10.0%); Minas Gerais (5.3%) and Rio Grande do Sul (5.1%).

As for volume of sales of extended retail trade, also in comparison with November 2012, twenty-three Federation Units recorded increases, with the highest rates registered in Acre (14.1%); Rio de Janeiro (10.1%); Rio grande do Norte (10.0%); Alagoas (9.7%) and Paraná (9.2%). The negative highlights were Roraima (-5.1%) and Amapá (-4;9%). The main contributions to the positive result of the sector came from São Paulo (5.8%); Rio de Janeiro (10.1%), Rio Grande do Sul (9.1%); Paraná (9.2%) and Santa Catarina (5.1%). 

In terms of volume of sales, in relation to October 2013, seasonally-adjusted results show twenty-one Federation Units with rising results, mostly in Tocantins (6.9%), Acre (5.7%), Mato Grosso do Sul (4.0%) and Roraima (3.5%).  The biggest negative rates came from Piauí (-0.8%) and Santa Catarina (-0.5%).

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1 The volume of real income usually earned by workers increased 2.3% in November, in relation to November 2012, according to the Monthly Employment Survey.

2 The rise of prices of the activity, measured by the group Food at Home, of IPCA, was 8.1% in the last 12 months, versus average inflation of 5.8%.

3 Th unemployment rate of November 2013 versus that of November 2012 (4.9%) did not record statistically significant changes, according to the Monthly Employment Survey.

4 The cumulative IPCA in 12 months shows that prices of personal computers rose 5.6% in November 2013, versus deflation of -4.6% in November 2012.

With the third biggest participation in the overall rate of retail trade (12%), the volume of sales of Fuels and lubricants increased 8.7% in relation to November 2012, having reached a cumulative amount of 6.3%, both in the year and in the last 12 months. The items contributing to this performance were fuel prices, with change of 2.5% in 12 months, versus inflation of 5.8%.

With rise of 7.8% in volume of sales, in relation to November 2012, other articles of personal and domestic use,  wich encompasses department stores, glasses shops, jewelry stores, sporting goods stores, toy stores, etc, accounted for the fourth biggest impact (12%) on the result of retail trade, with cumulative hikes of 10.3% in the year and of 10.1% in the last 12 months.  The increases of salary volume (2.3% over November 2012) and the stability of employment3 have kept this activity above average.

The segment of Pharmaceutical and medical goods, cosmetic and toilet articles with 12.1% of change in volume of sales in the November 2013/November 2012 comparison accounted for the biggest increase to the overall retail trade rate. With expansion of about 9.9% of the cumulative index from January to November, over the same period of 2012, and of 9.4% cumulative in 12 months, this activity justifies its performance both by the increase of salary volume and the essential use of its products. 

Fabric, apparel and footwear, which recorded change in volume of sales by 5.1% over November 2012, accounted ofr the sixth contribution to the overall rate. This acitivity has cumulative rates of 3.4% in the year and 3.5% in the last 12 months. Although prices of this sector have remained close to inflation figures (5.6% of change in the item apparel cumulative in the last 12 months, versus 5.8%), the performance of this segment was below the overall average of retail trade. 

Office, computer and comunication equipment and material,  which accounted for the seventh contribution to the overall rate,  faced increase of 1.04% in volume of sales, over November 2012.  Even considering the price rise of personal computers4, the monthly indicator and the cumulative indicator in the year (both with 6.9%) surpassed the average of retail trade.  However, that did not happen to the cumulative index in 12 months: 2.8%, versus 4.4% of retail trade

The activity Books, newspapers, magazines and stationerycontributed to the null change of retail trade rate, with its 0.8% of increase in relation to November 2012. The cumulative index in the year and in the last 12 months records, respectively, rates of 2.5% and 2.8%.  Even considering the diversity of products traded, mainly by big chains of book shops and stationery stores, results were below the overall average of industry.

The volume of sales of extended retail tradeincreased 5.7% in relation to November 2012, more than two time the rate recorded in October (2.2%).  This performance was affected by the increase of sales of Vehicles, motorcycles, parts and accessories: 3.3% over November last year, after having fallen -4.% in October. This performance can be seen as a result of the early purchases which occurred before the possible partial transfer of IPI shares after January 1, 2014.  This acitivity had cumulative rates of 1.5% in the year and 2.0% in the last 12 months.

 

In November, in the seasonally adjusted series, the volume of sales of retail trade in the country increased 0.7% and nominal revenue, 1.1% in relation to October. The volume of sales recorded increase for the ninth consecutive month, whereas nominal revenue has remained on an upward trend since March 2012. The moving average and the nominal revenue of sales volume increased 0.5% and 0.9%, respectively. Versus November 2012, there were changes of 7.0% for volume and 13.8% for revenue of sales. Cumulative indexes in the year and in the last 12 months, respectively, were 4.3% and 4.4% for volume of sales and 12.0% and 11.9% for nominal revenue.

Considering extended retail trade in the seasonally adjusted series, there were hikes of 1.3% in volume of sales and of 1.7% in nominal revenue. In comparison with November 2012, both sales and revenue recorded increase: 5.7% and 11.3%, respectively. Cumulative indexes were 3.6%, in the year and 3.8% in the last 12 months, for volume of sales, and 8.8% and 8.7%, respectively, for nominal revenue. More information about the survey is available at https://www.ibge.gov.br/english/estatistica/indicadores/comercio/pmc/.

 

In relation to October 2013, in the seasonally-adjusted series of extended retail trade, there were increases in nine of the 10 activities surveyed, the main highlight being Vehicles and motorcycles, parts and accessories (2.5%); Pharmaceutical and medical goods, cosmetic and toilet articles  (1.6%); Fabric, wearing apparel and footwear (1.5%); Furniture and domestic appliances (1.5%); Hyper and supermarkets, food products, beverages and tobacco (1.1%); Other articles of personal and domestic use (0.7%); Books, newspapers, magazines and stationery (0.6%); Construction material (0.5%). The only decrease was recorded by Office, computer and communication material and equipment (-2.1%).

In relation to November 2012, there was increase of the volume of sales of eight retail trade activities listed below in order of importance to the formation of the rate of the rate of this sector.

The volume of sales of Hypermarkets, supermarkets, food products, beverages and tocacco increased 5.7% in comparison with that of November 2012 and remains as the main impact (40%) on retail trade. Despite the increase of the population's purchasing power1, the activity remains below the average, reflecting the prices of the sector which, in the last twelve months, rose above inflation2.  Cumulative indexes were 1.9%, in the year, and 2.3%, in the last 12 months.

Furniture and domestic appliances increased 9.1% over November 2012 and  accounted for the second biggest contribution to the result of retail trade (17%). Even considering that IPI shares for white domestic appliances and for furniture have been gradually replaced since October, the sector had a result above average. In the year, the segment had cumulative increase of 5.8%In volume of sales, and, in the last 12 months, 6.1%.  In spite of the reduced incentive, this sector has had performances above the average of retail trase, as a result of the favorable performance of revenue and credit.