In April, industrial output retreats in 13 of 15 places surveyed
June 09, 2020 09h00 AM | Last Updated: June 09, 2020 05h12 PM
In the seasonally-adjusted series, 13 out of the 15 places surveyed registered negative rates in April 2020. The steepest drops were recorded in Amazonas (-46.5%), Ceará (-33.9%), the Northeast Region (-29.0%), Paraná (-28.7%), Bahia (-24.7%), São Paulo (-23.2%) and Rio Grande do Sul (-21.0%). Like Rio de Janeiro (-13.9%), all those places hit their most intense negative result since the beginning of the time series in 2002.
Espírito Santo (-16.7%), Minas Gerais (-15.9%), Santa Catarina (-14.1%), Pernambuco (-11.7%) and Mato Grosso (-4.3%) were the other places with negative figures in April 2020. The result reflected the social distancing due to the COVID-19 pandemic, which affected the industrial output in the entire country.
On the other hand, Pará (4.9%) and Goiás (2.3%) posted the two single positive rates this month, both of them growing again after retreating in the previous month.
| Short-term Indicators of Industry - Regional Results - April 2020 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Places | Change (%) | |||
| April 2020/ March 2020* |
April 2020/ April 2019 |
Cumulative January-April | Cumulative in the Last 12 Months | |
| Amazonas | -46.5 | -53.9 | -14.2 | 0.3 |
| Pará | 4.9 | 37.6 | 5.8 | 2.5 |
| Northeast Region | -29.0 | -33.1 | -5.1 | -3.5 |
| Ceará | -33.9 | -53.0 | -14.1 | -3.1 |
| Pernambuco | -11.7 | -29.1 | -3.0 | -2.7 |
| Bahia | -24.7 | -26.5 | -1.8 | -2.5 |
| Minas Gerais | -15.9 | -20.4 | -11.4 | -7.9 |
| Espírito Santo | -16.7 | -23.9 | -15.9 | -17.6 |
| Rio de Janeiro | -13.9 | -5.4 | 6.1 | 5.2 |
| São Paulo | -23.2 | -31.7 | -10.3 | -2.2 |
| Paraná | -28.7 | -30.6 | -6.2 | 1.7 |
| Santa Catarina | -14.1 | -30.8 | -11.8 | -2.6 |
| Rio Grande do Sul | -21.0 | -35.8 | -13.2 | -3.6 |
| Mato Grosso | -4.3 | -11.6 | -4.4 | -3.5 |
| Goiás | 2.3 | 0.4 | -0.7 | 2.6 |
| Brazil | -18.8 | -27.2 | -8.2 | -2.9 |
| Source: IBGE, Diretoria de Pesquisas, Coordenação de Indústria * Seasonally-adjusted series | ||||
In the seasonally-adjusted series, the decline of 18.8% in the industrial activity between March and April 2020 registered negative rates in 13 out of the 15 places surveyed, due to the effects of social distancing as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Like the national index in April, eight out of the 15 places surveyed hit their most intense negative result since the beginning of the time series: Amazonas (-46.5%), Ceará (-33.9%), the Northeast Region (-29.0%), Paraná (-28.7%), Bahia (-24.7%), São Paulo (-23.2%), Rio Grande do Sul (-21.0%) and Rio de Janeiro (-13.9%). Espírito Santo (-16.7%), Minas Gerais (-15.9%), Santa Catarina (-14.1%), Pernambuco (-11.7%) and Mato Grosso (-4.3%) were the other places with negative indexes in April 2020.
On the other hand, Pará (4.9%) and Goiás (2.3%) recorded the only two positive rates this month, both of them rising once again after a decline in the previous month: -14.4% and -2.5%, respectively.
The quarterly moving average index of the industry dropped 8.8% in the quarter ended in April 2020 over March, stepping up the retreat of 2.4% of the previous month and maintaining the predominantly downward trend started in October 2019. The reduction this month was the most intense since the beginning of the time series. All the 15 places surveyed posted negative rates in this indicator. The sharpest declines were registered in Amazonas (-18.6%), Ceará (-17.1%), Rio Grande do Sul (-12.2%), the Northeast Region (-11.7%), Paraná (-10.2%), Santa Catarina (-10.2%), Bahia (-9.8%) and São Paulo (-9.5%).
In the comparison with the same month in the previous year, the industry retreated 27.2% in April 2020, with 13 out of the 15 places surveyed posting negative rates. Like the national index, nine out of the 15 places surveyed hit their most intense negative result since the beginning of the time series: Amazonas (-53.9%), Ceará (-53.0%), Rio Grande do Sul (-35.8%), the Northeast Region (-33.1%), São Paulo (-31.7%), Santa Catarina (-30.8%), Paraná (-30.6%), Pernambuco (-29.1%) and Bahia (-26.5%). Espírito Santo (-23.9%), Minas Gerais (-20.4%), Mato Grosso (-11.6%) and Rio de Janeiro (-5.4%) were the other places with negative indexes this month. Conversely, Pará (37.6%) and Goiás (0.4%) recorded positive changes.
In the cumulative index in the year against the same period in 2019, the reduction in the output reached 13 out of the 15 places surveyed, highlighted by Espírito Santo (-15.9%), Amazonas (-14.2%) and Ceará (-14.1%). Rio Grande do Sul (-13.2%), Santa Catarina (-11.8%), Minas Gerais (-11.4%) and São Paulo (-10.3%) hit steeper rates than the national average (-8.2%), whereas Paraná (-6.2%), the Northeast Region (-5.1%), Mato Grosso (-4.4%), Pernambuco (-3.0%), Bahia (-1.8%) and Goiás (-0.7%) were the other places with dropping output in the cumulative index in the year. In contrast, Rio de Janeiro (6.1%) and Pará (5.8%) were the only places with rising indicators.
The cumulative rate over the last 12 months retreated 2.9% in April 2020, stepping up the loss against the previous results. Ten out of the 15 places surveyed dropped, though 12 were less dynamic than the March´s indexes. Amazonas (from 5.2% to 0.3%), Ceará (from 1.3% to -3.1%), Rio Grande do Sul (from -0.1% to -3.6%), Santa Catarina (from 0.3% to -2.6%), Paraná (from 4.5% to 1.7%), the Northeast Region (from -1.0% to -3.5%), Pernambuco (from -0.2% to -2.7%), São Paulo (from 0.2% to -2.2%) and Bahia (from -0.5% to -2.5%) posted the major losses between March and April 2020, whereas Pará (from -1.4% to 2.5%) registered the major gain between the two periods.
