In the seasonally-adjusted series, the decrease of 0.2% in the national industrial output caused eight out of the 15 places surveyed to register negative rates between June and July 2018.

The steepest retreats were reported in Goiás (-2.1%), Paraná (-1.3%), São Paulo (-1.1%), Minas Gerais (-1.0%) and Mato Grosso (-0.9%). Rio de Janeiro (-0.3%), Ceará (-0.2%) and Pernambuco (-0.2%) also recorded negative indexes. On the other hand, Espírito Santo (5.8%) and Rio Grande do Sul (4.6%) posted the sharpest advances this month. Pará (2.7%), Amazonas (2.5%), Santa Catarina (1.9%), Bahia (1.0%) and the Northeast Region (0.5%) were the other places with positive figures. The complete publication of the Monthly Industrial Survey - Regional can be accessed on the right side of this page.

Still in the seasonally-adjusted series, the evolution of the quarterly moving average index for the whole industry increased 0.1% in the quarter ended in July 2018 over the previous month, after advancing 0.5% in June and declining 3.4% in May. In regional terms, seven out of the 15 places registered positive rates, highlighted by the sharpest advances reported in Pará (5.2%), Rio Grande do Sul (1.9%), Pernambuco (1.9%) and Paraná (0,8%). On the other hand, Rio de Janeiro (-1.6%), Mato Grosso (-1.3%), Amazonas (-1.2%), Minas Gerais (-1.1%) and Bahia (-0.8%) recorded the steepest retreats in July 2018.

Compared with the same month of 2017, the industry rose 4% in July 2018, with 12 out of the 15 places surveyed reporting positive rates. It is worth highlighting that the calendar effect influenced the result this month, since July 2018 (22 days) had one more business day than the same month a year ago (21).

Rio Grande do Sul (13.9%), Pará (13.7%), Pernambuco (12.3%) and Rio de Janeiro (10.6%) posted the steepest expansions this month. In Rio Grande do Sul, the result was mainly influenced by the advances reported in the sectors of motor vehicles, trailers and bodies (cars, trailers and semi-trailers, and bus bodies), machinery and equipment (machines for extracting or preparing animal or vegetable oil or fat, farm tractors, harvesters, self-serving trading terminals and forklift trucks), food products (frozen, fresh or cooled poultry and giblets, cakes, bagasses, bran and other residues from the extraction of soybean oil, rice, fresh or cooled beef and crude soybean oil), fabricated metal products (pre-manufactured metal constructions, aluminum devices for domestic use, table knives, pliers and iron and steel sinks, vats, basins and bathtubs) and pulp, paper and paper products (pulp). In Pará, the rise was mainly leveraged by the advances in mining and quarrying industries (raw or processed iron ores).

In Pernambuco, the expansion was mainly due to advances in the sectors of food products (margarine, frozen poultry and giblets, ice creams and popsicles, cured chicken and related products, wheat flour and cookies and crackers) and fabricated metal products (aluminum cans for packaging, aluminum structures and steel wool, steel-wired sponges or similar devices). In Rio de Janeiro, the activities of coke, petroleum products and biofuels (diesel fuel, aviation kerosene, naphtha for petrochemical, liquefied petroleum gas and fuels) and motor vehicles, trailers and bodies (cars, trucks, bus bodies and chassis with engines for buses and trucks) were the major advances that leveraged the output in this state.

Santa Catarina (8.3%), Amazonas (7.6%), Espírito Santo (7.5%), Paraná (6.1%) and Mato Grosso (4.3%) also registered positive rates higher than the overall average (4.0%), whereas the Northeast Region (3.3%), São Paulo (2.9%) and Bahia (0.7%) were the other places that increased the output this month.

On the other hand, Goiás (-4.9%) recorded the most intense retreat in July 2018, pressed, at a great extent, by the negative behavior coming from the activities of food products (crystallized and VHP sugar) and motor vehicles, trailers and bodies (cars and vehicles for transportation of goods). Minas Gerais (-0.8%) and Ceará (-0.3%) also posted negative figures this month.

The cumulative index in the January-July 2018 against the same period in 2017 posted rises in 11 out of the 15 places surveyed, highlighted by the two-digit advance in Amazonas (14.1%). Pará (8.9%), Pernambuco (4.7%), Santa Catarina (4.6%), Rio de Janeiro (4.5%), São Paulo (4.3%) and Rio Grande do Sul (2.6%) also increased above the average of industry (2.5%), whereas Paraná (1.8%), Mato Grosso (0.5%), Bahia (0.5%) and the Northeast Region (0.2%) were the other places with positive figures by the end of the first seven months of the year.

In those places, the higher dynamism was particularly influenced by the expansion in the manufacture of capital goods (especially those for the transportation sector, for construction and for mixed use); of intermediate goods (pulp, diesel fuel, naphtha for petrochemical, aviation kerosene, basic metal, derivatives from soybean extraction, syrup for beverage preparations for industrial use, tires, parts and pieces for the car industry, car pieces, packaging and rubber and plastic products); of durable consumer goods (cars and brown goods); of semi and non-durable goods (beers, draft beer, frozen, fresh or cooled beef, textiles, ethyl alcohol, medicines, and toiletries, soaps and cleaning and personal hygiene products).

Conversely, Goiás (-3.8%) and Espírito Santo (-3.7%) recorded the highest retreats in the cumulative index in the year, mainly pressed by the negative behavior coming from the activities of food products (crystallized and VHP sugar), in the former place; and of non-metallic mineral products (carved or sawed granite - including plates and Portland cement) and pulp, paper and paper products (pulp), in the latter place. Minas Gerais (-1.6%) and Ceará (-0.1%) also posted negative rates in the cumulative indicator in the January-July 2018 period.

Having advanced 0.3% in the May-July 2018 period, the industrial sector remained with a positive behavior, though losing pace against that registered in the first four-month period of the year (4.4%), both of them compared with the same period last year. This reduced growth was related to the retreat reported in May, as a result of the shutdown in a number of industrial plants, particularly due to the truckers´ strike in the last ten days of that month.

Still in the cumulative index in the year, 11 out of the 15 places also recorded loss of dynamism, highlighted by Amazonas (from 21.3% to 5.1%), Ceará (from 3.5% to -4,4%), Goiás (from 0.5% to -7.2%), Mato Grosso (from 4.1% to -3.4%), São Paulo (from 7.8% to 0.5%), Santa Catarina (from 7.3% to 1.2%) and Bahia (from 2.2% to -1.7%). On the other hand, Pará (from 6.9% to 11.1%), Espírito Santo (from -5.0% to -1.9%) and Pernambuco (from 3.5% to 6.5%) posted the highest advances between the two periods.

Having changed from 3.1% in June to 3.2% in July 2018, the cumulative rate over the last 12 months registered a slight gain in the growth rate. In regional terms, 13 out of the 15 places surveyed registered positive rates in July 2018, though only eight were more dynamic than the indexes of last June. Rio de Janeiro (from 4.1% to 5.4%), Pernambuco (from 1.9% to 3.1%), Rio Grande do Sul (from -0.1% to 1.0%), Espírito Santo (from -3.3% to -2.3%) and Amazonas (from 10.6% to 11.3%) recorded the major gains of pace between June and July 2018, while Bahia (from 1.9% to 1.2%) and Goiás (from 2.0% to 1.4%) posted the major losses.